convexly's submissions

1.		We scored 10k Polymarket wallets. Calibration barely predicts profit (convexly.app)
		4 points by convexly 7 days ago \| past \| discuss
2.		We tested the insider trading claim on Polymarket with Taleb-proof methods (convexly.app)
		6 points by convexly 12 days ago \| past \| 1 comment
3.		Show HN: I built a 2-min quiz that shows you how bad you are at estimating (convexly.app)
		20 points by convexly 20 days ago \| past \| 66 comments
4.		Ask HN: Are Brier scores useful for personal decision making?
		1 point by convexly 22 days ago \| past