This is a resubmission from yesterday. I just realized the previous title made is sound like a complain about the python installation process, why may deter people from reading it since it looked like the usual noise.
It's not.
The article is a detailed explanation of why we are in this situation, what can be done about it and what is being done about it.
If it's one more man-week of pain a year, but the spanner solution add a additional cost that is 10 times that, there is an incentive for the employer to keep the painful solution.
That and lock in, open source ecosystem and so on.
Personally I put a heater literally next to my office char, with a cover on top of it and me. This means I could work all day feeling warm without heating the whole flat.
So yes, we did cut energy consumption.
The PR around this was much better than the one around covid, one consistent clear message for month prior the event.
Turns out when the government does its job, people are not that dumb.
I usually can grab a few things from tone alone for a lot of languages.
But I got a new greek buddy recently, and when she talks on the phone, my ears cannot lock on anything.
Edit: completely unrelated, but I saw your username on lobster on a dead man switch thread (I use Shamir’s Secret for treasure hunts to I thought the DMS idea was cool). Do you happen to have invites? I started to write again, and wanted to post something but I don't have any account.
If you open an account, you will see the site is flooded with generated pictures from guys obsessing about the smallest details for hundred of hours.
Some users have trained models specialized in rendering vagina, boobs, or oiled body effects.
The dedications of this people and the cheer amount of work they produce for free is just going to compound into extraordinary results, like it always did in porn.
And they are having fun doing it. The models? They are called things like "better vulva" and "breast in class". The porn community is having a party right now, and after the hangover, we will be left with what they drunkenly chose as the winner.
Like they did with the VHS or flash streaming.
And it's going to generate trillions of dollars.
I can't help but note that the author is a woman, which is not the target audience of 99% of the porn, and seem to have no idea what man are capable of creating and enjoying when it's about jacking off.
Jokes on her, because the AI is probably going to be much better at emulating porn that women like than today's content, since it will be able to respond to the users.
Edit: damn, "porn" in the title and already flagged. This american puritanism is so hypocrite.
What you don’t mention is that this also isn’t like qn isolated porn bubble within AI art: a lot of the general purpose art models (most of the ones that are merges and aren’t specifically focussed on non-human-shaped subjects) are merges that use one or more of the porn models because those are obsessively trained on anatomy, and improve results for non-porn images.
The washing machine is one of the biggest game changer in the world, allowing people to suddenly have, like a noble used to have, the equivalent of a servant to do a tremendously costly chore. Without the slavery part.
I think AI has the same potential: filling administrative work, walking the complexity of an information overloaded world, keeping up to date with laws you can't ignore but have no way to know about, planning logistics that our modern life impose on us...
Suddenly, like the CEO of today, every one will be able to have a secretary.
Yes, that can make a huge different.
Don't think about AI as the thing we have today. GPT the nokia 3310 of AI. Amazing, but very basic.
Think that one day, somebody will come out with the iphone of AI.
You're just extending the lines in a way you like to imagine. Kinda like wishing for flying cars when we can't even make them navigate 2D city streets autonomously.
Flight autopilot is easy if you only have to fly from one point to another. The hard part is dealing with emergencies. We are far from being able to build an autopilot that could react as well as the human crew did during US Airways flight 1549.
So you're comfortable giving a black box secretary powers, including accessing and using remote APIs on your behalf, while you have zero insight or control over its decisions? Or will you be second guessing it every step of the way rendering it little more then a fancy autocomplete?
I don't think you realize the amount of risk involved in giving these opaque probabilistic systems control over data and compute. They are not people replacements and assuming so and acting on it will create more problems than it solves... Because extending thee lines to wrap around your needs is wishful thinking and there is a lot more complexity and hidden unintended consequences than assumed when saying chatbots capable of using APIs will be dependable personal assistants, which is the point I'm trying to make.
It is hard for people to comprehend the rate of change. Over the short term, it feels like we are on a gentle slope upward with respect to change. But the reality is the slope is near vertical. Even your analogy is a huge understatement. It will be more like Nokia today, and iPhone next week.
OP is saying GPT is the equivalent of an old Nokia feature phone. However cellphones really blew up once Apple figured out how to make smartphones broadly appealing with multi touch (prior to that you had things like Windows CE, Blackberry and Palm, but those were extremely more limited than what the iPhone delivered).
In other words the jump ahead from GPT to broadly useful AI is akin to the jump from the old Nokia feature phone to iPhone. Don’t let the current limitations of GPT color what you think AI will be generally capable of within the next decade.
> Suddenly, like the CEO of today, every one will be able to have a secretary.
I think something that was majorly lost in the past 60 years is the secretary. I agree with you that it’d be great if everyone had one - the working relationship between a secretary and the person they support can be amazingly productive.
>The washing machine is one of the biggest game changer in the world
The biggest game changer was the fossil fuel that enabled that washing machine, and all the other modern devices we rely on.
That same substance is used to as chemical feedstock for fertilizers and more than double yields, and more than double the amount of "arable" land. If we were to run out, half of humanity would likely starve.
Context switching burns people out and geeks don't notice how much they force themselves into too much of it.
E.G: I have a friend that went full nerd on his coding setup. Dvorak keyboard, Full Arch Linux with tiling windows manager. Everything in the terminal, all dev through vim. If it's not a religion, it's at least a lifestyle.
He is very happy with it: the keyboard is so ergonomic, he barely has to move the hand of it. Every task can be controlled out of a few key strokes
Except he didn't notice how much of a burden he put on himself.
Even for very simple tasks I see him struggling because of all the context switching.
If you have to copy/paste something from your web browser to your editor, it may require you to select with a mouse, and ctrl+c, then alt-tab a bit, click on the IDE tab and ctrl+v. Not instant, but this procedure is the same for everything, so it doesn't take much brain to do it.
For him, it's a whole guacamole, because there is a special shortcut to get to the browser, another one to get to the text, then copy/paste, then go to vim with another shortcut, select the proper buffer, paste with a yet another shortcut and make sure he uses the proper mode. Since Dvorak is a different layout than his phone keyboard or his client keyboards, the shortcuts don't perfectly rely on muscle memory.
Every simple task in his setup like that: it requires a lot of effort.
And his whole life outside of the computer is like that too, because he has very high moral standards, so he lives a constrained life in society that is optimized for a totally different life style. However he never cuts himself a slack.
Multiply that by a hundred times a day, a hundred days a year.
He burnt out.
And he has no idea why: all the reasons he gave me were external factor, blaming other people a lot.
But it was not.
He killed himself with a thousand paper cuts, chasing an ideal he theorized in his head but could not only never reached, but could not even assess the real cost on his life.
> For him, it's a whole guacamole, because there is a special shortcut to get to the browser, another one to get to the text, then copy/paste, then go to vim with another shortcut, select the proper buffer, paste with a yet another shortcut and make sure he uses the proper mode. Since Dvorak is a different layout than his phone keyboard or his client keyboards, the shortcuts don't perfectly rely on muscle memory.
I think you are over-estimating the effort. Most experienced Vim users not even think about motions when they use them, it's just the muscle memory.
Nevertheless, I can see how much effort it costs him every time I see him performs those tasks. Because I can see him pause to think of the sequence of the things he needs to do to achieve the result for some very basic stuff.
If you have to constantly think about how to use your pen instead of what you are writing about, it's a problem.
But it's an invisible problem if you are attached to your tools, you will never notice it. It's not possible, your tools are so great, they save you time, they make you more efficient, they are most comfortable.
At this stage it's part of his identity.
I can't say for you, as I don't know your particular situation.
But that's definitely the case for him and for several vim + tiling users that I know.
They spent years investing in this.
They will never say anything but good things about it.
But they wills start working on a project, and spend 30 minute fixing something before they can even start on the task. Then every single step requires planning for the basic moves.
If you look at how they work, the tools are taking a toll, inch by inch.
> But that's definitely the case for him and for several vim + tiling users that I know.
> Then every single step requires planning for the basic moves.
I think you are imagining things, because that makes you feel better. None of this is true for experienced vim users. It's true for novices, but that's the nature of learning. I know you won't believe me, but I don't really care.
> They will never say anything but good things about it.
That's not true either, as every tool has pros and cons, and every vim/tmux/i3/arch/linux user is aware of that.
Look at YT/Twitch for any good Vim user, like Primeagen or TJ Devries, or basically any Vim-related conference talks and you will see that your understanding is flawed.
> Dvorak keyboard, Full Arch Linux with tiling windows manager. Everything in the terminal, all dev through vim
I'm a little confused, because most of these things sound like a great way to reduce context switching / extra keystokes.
I imagine if you're not familiar with this setup, coming from another world, them yes a learning curve will be needed, and that might last for years. I think that'd be just as true with any radically different setup than you're used to.
Meh. I've made my own layout and have been using Linux and Vim for the last 15 years or so. The context switching is barely noticeable and I think you're vastly overestimating the effort this kind of setup demands of you once you get comfortable. It all feels so natural to me.
What's much worse is switching between different types of tasks, like answering emails to coding to helping co-workers to having to jump on a call.
Just bought Horizon, a game I would have never tried without the Deck, and it's been a blast.
With the click on a button, I dive deep inside a the wonderful post apocalyptic hunter-gatherer world they created, in 2 seconds, thanks to the deck flawless sleep mode.
Seamless sleep is something you could never dream on a Linux system, and here not only it works, but it gives this nice instant experience of a console, for PC gaming.
It's not.
The article is a detailed explanation of why we are in this situation, what can be done about it and what is being done about it.