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It's 100% bulletproof except for the parts it's made out of.

Found Elizabeth Holmes's alt.

(I don't necessarily disagree with you, but there's a difference between thinking outside the box and trying new ideas, and literally ignoring factual reality and repeated clear feedback from people who actually know what they're talking about.)


Stock market reporting is always pretty funny. "Stocks went up because the Democrats won!" "Stocks went down because the democrats won!"

I think it's just a chaotic system and, apart from extreme events, it's impossible to know what the actual reasons for most movements are.


> Stock market reporting is always pretty funny. "Stocks went up because the Democrats won!" "Stocks went down because the democrats won!"

Both of these can be true. The reporting is just capturing the sentiment driving the market. There might be a relief rally that things will stabilize now, followed by a panic that data centers will not be built according to the expected schedule.


There is a reason price changes are often modelled as a random walk for valuation and risk models.

Last time I went to China, a friend left her phone in a taxi (I guess a "didi") near a train station. She ran to the train station's police station, pestered them into looking at the recordings, got them to tell her the license plate of the car, and figure out how to call the driver. Her phone was back 20 minutes later.

If you're going to be surveilled 24/7, at least you gotta make it work for you.


> If you're going to be surveilled 24/7, at least you gotta make it work for you.

I don't get it.

There was CCTV at the station, your friend arrived in a taxi. And we're supposed to be amazed you can call up the taxi company and quote a numberplate off CCTV ?

Can be done anywhere in the world.

Would have been far more impressive story if she had arrived in a private car, dropped off by a work colleague or something.


> And we're supposed to be amazed you can call up the taxi company and quote a numberplate off CCTV

No. It was just a thing that happened to me that I thought was funny and interesting, because running to the train police station and asking them to track the didi was not something I'd ever have thought to do.

I'm sorry my little anecdote didn't satisfy you.


> I'm sorry my little anecdote didn't satisfy you.

It wasn't that. Its that you made a reference to the Chinese surveillance state in the same post. Your example didn't fit the evil-bogeyman narrative you were aiming for.

Sorry if I was unclear there.


> Your example didn't fit the evil-bogeyman narrative you were aiming for

What in the world are you talking about. If anything, I wasn't sure if recollecting that anecdote was minimizing the harm of being surveilled constantly. The last thing I expected was being accused of an "evil-bogeyman narrative."

> Sorry if I was unclear there.

Yes, thanks for clarifying. Now I understand that this has nothing to do with me or what I wrote and is 100% projection on your part.


> What in the world are you talking about.

You used the words "If you're going to be surveilled 24/7, at least you gotta make it work for you."

The implication being quite clear you were inferring it was only possible in China's surveillance state, when it was not.

How about we cordially agree to disagree and move on ?


> The implication being quite clear you were inferring it was only possible in China's surveillance state, when it was not.

Jesus fucking Christ.


Last time I did that, I called my phone from my friend's phone, asked the driver to come back, and paid him for the trip.

Her phone doesn't ring.

> figure out how to call the driver

Which country are you in where you cant take "call the driver" for granted?


Going from license plate to phone number would be one hell of an endeavor in most US states.

I expect the US police to have this capability; < 1% expectation that they would share it with a random citizen who walked in.

“Powerless to help you, not powerless to harm you.”

I don't quite understand the question. If she had had her phone, she could have called the driver using the information from the didi app, but she had no phone, so she didn't know who to call.

Herself, I’d have thought.

Her phone doesn't ring.

People with Down syndrome aren't all the same. The highest measured IQ of a person with Down syndrome in a scientific study was 117:

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3707311/

Having said that, men with Down syndrome are generally infertile anyway.


Downs syndrome is indeed highly heterogeneous, one of the sadder aspects is the accelerated dementia specifically Alzheimer's.

I've known a few people with Dawn's syndrome and the striking often abrupt and rapid tragectory is shocking.

As much as the slow decline of dementia that it's often incidents months apart before things fall apart. Is sad.

So is it in people with Downs syndrome when at 35 their often bright and cheerful life loving demeanor seems to vanish over the course of a few months.

As I understand it it's because chromosome 21 carries the genes associated with Alzheimer's so they get an extra copy, but also structure issues with the brain, increased risk of sleep apnea and other toxic conditions.


Yes, there might be exceptions, but the averages in that article make my argument for me.

Your argument was not that it's bad for an average person with Down syndrome to have children. It's that they "absolutely shouldn't try to get pregnant, they'll be incapable of looking after the child." My response is that your argument, stated in this extreme way, is factually incorrect.

"Not all car crashes are the same. People sometimes live because they weren't wearing a seatbelt."

The point of these statements is to make an outlier appear as if it is part of the norm. They're bad statements to make, because at heart they are just misleading.


I understand this is an intellectual argument, but to use car crashes as a parallel to people's lives with Down syndrome is gross and dehumanizing.

> The point of these statements is to make an outlier appear as if it is part of the norm

Please don't lie about what I wrote. I explicitly said that 117 was "the highest measured IQ of a person with Down syndrome." My own comment says that it is an outlier.

> They're bad statements to make, because at heart they are just misleading

Please note the context of my comment, which was somebody saying that people with Down syndrome are "incapable of looking after the child." I pointed out that this does not apply to all people with Down syndrome, which is not misleading; it's correct.

TBH, I'm not sure what the purpose of your comment was, other than to start a moronic fight that does not need to be fought by lying about what I actually said. I'm not interested in having that fight.


Right, and there are people who live in car accidents because they didn't have on a seatbelt.

But no one counters "You should always wear your seatbelt" with "Some people have lived because they didn't have one on". It's a meaningless statement that doesn't change anything about the original statement.


I'm sorry, are you speaking English? I just explained how it contradicts the original statement. Are you a bot?

I don't know why people don't understand this, but something being true doesn't mean it can't also be hurtful, and it doesn't mean it has to be said. Gabe clearly already knows that he is different; there's absolutely no point in telling him this, other than to hurt him.

I look at it through my parenting lens. You can’t just ignore it. You have to prepare them for a harsh world where they will constantly hear it, feel it, and possibly worse. I’d feel my role would be to fully acknowledge it, overly embrace it, almost to a theatrical level. This would be privately in the home and while they’re young but the idea is to make them understand their difference has lots of benefits/positives to it. It’s kind of a super power. So they have a positive self image and relationship with their difference before they have to deal with the external stuff. Then, of course, they’ll still get upset when a name caller or bully confronts them but you can lean on the foundation of this is just who you are and who you are is awesome. It still hurts ofc but that’s inevitable in this world, how you respond is controllable. Someone simply vocalizing a fact shouldn’t ruin their day if they’ve been properly “coached” to have the fortitude.

> You can’t just ignore it

I agree with your comment in general, except this one point: you sometimes absolutely can just ignore it. The instance from the article is one such example.


I didn't read it that way. The subject seems to feel overwhelming grief/dispare for being different and notices it everywhere he goes. What good is there in ignoring it? I'd address it. Own it. It seems that the subject generally has had a supportive family/community and has not had much adversity other than just feeling stuck in his life.

The instance in the article is a third party telling Gabe that he's different.

That was a singular event in the article. The article goes on to say how he sees and feels his difference everywhere. He notices in most places, everyone else is the same and he is different. I did not make the interpretation that he only notices this because once someone told him he was different. I interpret that he would have noticed this whether someone said it or not. This is why I personally would address it versus pretend it doesn't exist. From a young age, I would have presumed there is no scenario where he could live a life ignorant of his difference.

To be clear, I'm saying it can't be ignored as a parent. Gabe can ignore it, but that usually requires some proper preparation and understanding of how to deal with the emotions it may generate when someone says it. Hence the parenting part.


> That was a singular event in the article

Which is what was being discussed in this thread.


> Gabe clearly already knows that he is different; there's absolutely no point in telling him this, other than to hurt him.

That’s from top of thread, and what I’m disagreeing with. My stance is he should be told so he can understand, process, ask questions, be supported, in a safe positive environment.

Never discussing it is the same as ignoring it and he will notice or be told by someone. It might just be some innocent 3 year old on a playground, but he will be told. But you’re letting him deal with that in the moment unprepared if you don’t proactively address it as a parent. All kinds of bad could come from that.


This was in response to another comment.

It’s where I entered. The parent of that is more in tuned with my opinion of addressing it in a positive manner. You introduced the idea of concealing it/never mentioning it on that comment, there’s nothing new you’re saying here and based on other posts you’re just argumentative with everything so I’m done here.

There's a gulf of difference between burying/hiding truth and going out of your way to unnecessarily bring up a fact that serves no good purpose in context.

All of which to say, you can affirm it by being a dick, but that's not the only way to acknowledge the truth. Nor should we pretend the facts aren't there.


"You're not wrong, Walter, you're just an asshole." (The Big Lebowski)

Ah but they do understand this. They just like hurting people.

We're not living in the bad timeline; we're living in the absolute clown timeline.

1.9. Super Intelligence (SI)

Small businesses are increasingly leveraging SI products and services to extend limited resources and run an efficient, competitive, innovative business. For example, SI systems are often used to write code, automate workflows, generate content, or provide customer support.

Fortunately, I can use Even Superiorer Intelligence (ESI) to fix this PDF and replace this dumb-ass term with the proper nomenclature.


Here's one in High: https://www.svgviewer.dev/s/UgGqwY8R

IMO pretty damn good, the bike frame is great, the feet connect to the pedals and the wing to the handlebars, and one leg is behind the bike.


In my first test, it filled 200k of its one-million-token window in 5 minutes. Right now at least, it seems to be fast.

Update: a second thread went down to a more reasonable ~80 tps.


I'm happy they're doing this, and it's good and admirable to see people be able to change their minds on something they once believed so strongly, but this should have happened 30 years ago.

People only "change their mind" when it becomes an existential crisis. And energy security in Europe has reached that stage 10x.

>People only "change their mind" when it becomes an existential crisis.

If only. There's people and parties (not in the UK) who would rather see the rest of the country suffer than admit they were wrong, so they feel compelled to die on that hill and take everyone with them, because defending their principle is more important.


also in the UK

I vaguely remember a quote that said:

“People act reasonably when left no other choice”

It stuck with me.


Which means new nuclear is about the worst thing we can spend our limited resources on since it won't be coming online until the 2040s, and then at a ruinosuly expensive price.

Meanwhile renewables and storage are reshaping our global energy system due to being the cheapest globally scalable energy source in human history.

We also need to keep in mind nuclear supply chains. After 21 sanction packages the EU still haven't sanctioned Russia's nuclear industry.

We're simply too deeply entangled across the entire supply chain: nuclear fuel, enrichment, reprocessing, technological partnerships, reactor maintenance, new construction and more.


Nuclear power plants ate quite the opposite of energy security especially with a foreign threat

How?

Unlike fossil fuel power plants, NPPs don't depend on a steady supply of a high volume of costly consumables just to keep running. Reactor fuel loads last months to years, naturally buffering any price shocks or supply chain issues. And you can maintain an "energy security" stockpile of nuclear fuel that would add you even more years of runaway.

To have your nuclear power disrupted, you have to face an adversary that's both capable and willing to hit targets on your soil, and on top of that, is willing to target NPP infrastructure specifically.

A random rogue state lobbing mid-range drones over a strait wouldn't cut it. Neither would a war halfway around the world.


Russia already showed it‘s willing to hit targets on German soil. Of course not openly.

To attack you just need an inside man and an USB stick to fake an accident.

And with the AfD they get the information about critical infrastructure free of charge


We're talking about Germany shuttering their nuclear power plants despite USA warning them repeatedly that Russia was going to weaponize the Nord Stream gas dependence against them. Which is ultimately exactly what happened.

Nuclear power replaced coal in Germany, not gas. A big dependence exists because people heat their homes with gas and lots of industry needs gas, nuclear doesn’t help with either.

Russian gas replaced Germany's own nuclear power. That's where the risk was and why the Nord Stream pipelines were so controversial.

But Germany wanted the cheap gas, so they ignored the risks and Russia ultimately invaded Ukraine.


That is not really the case. Germany certainly wanted cheap gas, but there was also the theory that integrating Russia economically will prevent conflicts. While ultimately a wrong decision, it was not entirely stupid.

But regarding gas, one has to understand that a tiny fraction (15%) of gas is used for electricity and most for heating. So nuclear power is completely irrelevant here.

I also would like people realize that many nuclear plants in Europe and elsewhere still depend on fuel from Russia. So energy dependence is a bit more complex.


> But regarding gas, one has to understand that a tiny fraction (15%) of gas is used for electricity and most for heating. So nuclear power is completely irrelevant here.

You know that homes can be heated with electricity from nuclear power? The reason why Germany uses gas for heating is because it was historically very cheap compared to electricity, because it came from Russia. Good, while the attached strings could be ignored..


Sure, but we are talking about what was the reality in Germany. And gas was and is needed mainly for heating (and also industry), so shutting down the nuclear plants did not increase dependency on Russian gas despite what people repeatedly claim. Also gas usage for power production did not increase afterwards, while Russian gas imports were stopped. Both simple facts contradicting this myth.

It's a bit more complex, I think. When gas imports started from the USSR, nuclear power plants were still being built in Germany, for example. There were gas imports for a long time.

That’s BS, Gas is used for heating and industry ovens not for energy production.

Germany runs gas-fired power plants for electricity production.

If Germans don't or didn't want, e.g., nuclear power plants, or fracking, or transmission lines, or ... then they are allowed to decide that way, no?

if the germans want to shoot themselves in the foot they are allowed to do this, yes. what is the point of your comment? it's not even remotely relevant.

I was trying to point out that societies make and are free to make decisions that others don't like or that aren't great for them by some metric - and that there is nothing wrong with that. Why is that not relevant when it comes to energy?

so your point is that it's fine that germany ceeded energy independence and gave power to russia, because they're a country and countries have the 'right' to make bad decisions?

we have the right to criticise countries too right?


If Germans don't want energy independence - you can criticize that but that's how nation states work or is there some UN Charter violation in there, for example?

im still so confused what your point is. it's like talking about the consequences of someone's alcoholism, and someone chiming in "well they have a right to die of the booze if they want" like...ok???

So any nation state needs to be energy independent? Is that your point? Or have cheap energy and energy independence? If people want low growth, expensive energy etc., why is that like alcoholism? What is intrinsically bad there? Not like life expectancy in Germany is low, for example.

> So any nation state needs to be energy independent?

It is obviously a good thing if a democratic nation state is independent from a totalitarian dictatorship.

> Not like life expectancy in Germany is low, for example.

It's not about life expectancy. They now have to make a choice between supporting an aggressive totalitarian state vs. suffering damage to their economy due to higher energy prices. That is obviously a bad position to be in.


Why is using domestic energy sources much more not another choice now or in the recent past?

are you german?

Are you? Trying to understand your position... the only good policy is energy independence?

Edit: what is your point? Being able to criticize? Sure, but so what?


there is no position, you're imagining arguments people aren't making.

And yet, Germany did quickly stop importing gas from Russia, while various other countries still depend on nuclear fuel from Rosatom.

[flagged]


And by “the war against Russia,” you meant when Russia violated its treaty and invaded a sovereign country on the EU’s doorstep? That war “against Russia?” What an interesting phrasing you’ve chosen.

[flagged]


The Russia/Ukraine war started because Russia invaded Ukraine.

Ukraine said that Russia invaded Ukraine. Russia said that Russia invaded Ukraine. And Russia has a long history of invading its neighbors - that's why it's already so big. We have no reason to doubt that Russia invaded Ukraine.


Or more probably, it's imputable to biology and the natural replacement of the "old guard" by adults who didn't grow up during nukes schizophrenia. Or in other words, I doubt that those folks reasoned themselves out of the irrational fear for nuclear energy that they did not reason themselves into.

I'm not sure it's irrational. It's perhaps oversensitive. There are dozens of nuclear power incidents rated at levels of 5+, affecting the wider region.

In the UK, Sellafield was a nightmare. Lots of less serious slip ups and malfunctions punctuated by a few critical incidents, between 1954 and 2003. You might understand why yesterday's Green Party might think it an issue worth pursuing.


"the environment is improved one funeral at a time" -- Planck principle

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planck%27s_principle


This is such a bummer. Russia still has good long term energy plans for Germany. (if you are European this is sarcasm).

Now by selling them uranium!

I believe a lot of uranium comes from Australia?

Definitely risks in the supply chain there, but probably less than Russia?


I bet they are happy about it. Only need to sabotage one big power plant to get chaos.

Or the panic when the next drones appear near a power plant


> Russia still has good long term energy plans for Germany

What do you mean?


There are suspicions that German energy policy was effectively controlled/influenced by Russia in the early 2000s.

E.g the ex chancellor is now paid handsomely https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/23/world/europe/schroder-ger...

I believe more recently there was an expose about some other politicians at that time having links to Russia, although don’t have them to hand right now.


It’s sarcasm. Russia does not have good long term energy plans for Germany.

As other people have mentioned, it's very likely not the same people; but rather more anti-nuclear people leaving the organization or dying, and more pro-nuclear people joining.

It really does feel a day late and a dollar short for Europe, especially Germany.

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