Having experience inside Metas culture, it is extremely metrics driven, sometimes without regard to side effects of optimizing a primary goal. So if someone was measuring their job performance on optimizing site-links then it’s very likely this could be happening.
A lot of people are also assuming intentional malice here when incompetence/lack-of-care is the main issue.
If people saw how things are done at Meta, you wouldn’t be surprised. A lot of the stuff is functionally broken due to a lack of care from the top level. Your VPs and above just do not give a shit about quality whatsoever. This thing fucking prints money like crazy. Also, preventing loss of revenue and/or customer satisfaction is not a top level priority.
I think people also don’t understand how much bigger companies spend. They absolutely dwarf all the smaller businesses out there and Meta doesn’t have a ton of interest in spending time on customers who are just as likely to go out of business next year as they are to increase their budget a tiny bit.
And the top businesses have a completely different flow. These guys are spending hundreds of millions to billions - not a 100k over several years lol.
No, Meta doesn't get a pass on this one after "Jedi Blue" and faking video viewing metrics. These guys are criminals.
Generally, media buyers/advertisers are clueless when it comes to ad fraud. The big platforms have made a lot of money by abusing this fact. (I have over 15 years of experience in online marketing, on the advertiser, publisher and ad-network side. )
Lack of care is malice, though. Hanlon's razor only applies if they would aspire to do better but lack the awareness/capability, not if they'd happily accept the tradeoff.
China has interests at direct odds to Europe like assisting the Russians to victory in Ukraine. It also has interest to dump exports onto European markets. Regardless of whether you agree with the US, China is going to be looking out only for itself from now on.
Nvidia sells everything they make at whatever margin they decide already. That's exactly why his warnings should be taken seriosuly because it's not based on short term $$$ but PRC creating medium/long term rival to Nvidia because they have the talent and sooner than later, semi industrial base. More seriously now that CCP is basically telling domestic companies to go local instead of Nvidia.
China has already recognized that computer manufacturing is a national security concern for them. So they will continue investing in Huawei regardless of whether Nvidia sells to them or not. Huang knows this pretty well and just wants to sell to China while Nvidia is still in a prime market leader position. It makes sense from his angle to say “sanctions are useless” and “were going to be caught by China anyways, so might as well make a buck while we can.”
Again, Nvidia sells every chip it produces. TSMC sells every wafer Nvidia contracts. Money is not the issue. Think about the kicker. Jensen said this in Taiwan of all places with specific emphasis on scope of PRC talent. Rude.
What Jensen wants is is Nvidia chips in PRC so PRC, the generator of plurality of global AI talent works to improve Nvidia ecosystem, because even 10-20% penetration means expanding Nvidia developer / human capita by 2x/3x in future where PRC AI talent generation likely to get more disproportionate relative to RoW. Of course PRC is going to continue pouring resources into indigenous solutions, but instead of 100% of PRC talent, aka 50%+ of global AI talent working on Huawei solutions, maybe only 60-70%, which means instead of Huawei getting 50%+ of global talent, they get <50% and RoW + segment of PRC talent. That gives Nvidia plurality talent to keep building CUDA moat.
And as long as Cuda remains an option in PRC, the 70% working on Huawei has avenue to cross train over to Nvidia ecosystem, which is supported by US tech, aka $$$, so the chance of crosspolinating and braindrain the best from PRC AI is higher. Without Nvidia at least having some relevant share in PRC, that braindrain beach head and knowledge transfer route is gone. Here's the flip side, Silicon valley AI is going to be built off PRC AI talent for foreseable future, whatever happens in SV WILL filter back to PRC in one way siphon unless Nvidia has a spoute in PRC to siphon back, otherwise PRC AI remains relative blackbox, with talent advantage, intelligence (as in knowledge diffusion and espionage) advantage, that's ready to go at 200% the second hardware catches up. They will go from 5 years behind to 2 years ahead in a flash because their talent lead is no longer being constrained.
To be frankly honest, as a non-American I actually would like a Chinese competitor to NVIDIA, since they have a monopoly on GPUs and can attach whatever ridiculous price they want to it! I for sure would like cheap GPU computing to the masses...
Demise is hard to justify but if climate change renders a relatively small percentage of global land unfit for dense human population and agriculture within a short period of time the results could be extraordinarily costly.
Unfortunately the levers of power are so captured that it’s likely the only way for things to change is for leadership to mess up so badly that people end up on the streets.
Thiel pretty obviously wants to rule the world but he’s just so uncharismatic that he’ll never get anyone onboard whatever vision he has. Ultimately I think he’ll be used by whoever thinks he can advance their vision and then he’ll be discarded
It's sort of funny. His historical Antichrist stories covered here are basically about technocrats becoming the Antichrist. His contemporary take is that it's obviously not the technocrats, it'll be Greta Thunberg or someone like her. Someone who opposes technological development (to any degree) will be the Antichrist. So we must develop technology unfettered because the old stories of the Antichrist are irrelevant now for some reason.
Also the technocrat vibes of "I'll grind the poor to a fine powder and use it to fertilize my private garden if no one stops me" are somewhat lacking in charisma.
Yeah AARO has been known to be pro-Pentagon for awhile now with Kirkpatrick playing role of chief misinformer. It looks like this is his counter play to Grusch and the NJ UAP sightings
The Ukraine conflict has frequently raised nuclear fears mostly due to Russian nuclear sabre rattling. But this has been happening since 2022 and it’s hard to see anything going hot anytime soon
