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Trump will be a lame duck soon, and it's likely that the next president will be far less extreme. Some sense of American normalcy will likely return relatively soon.


my mental model:

guess about the future (no money involved) = "prediction"

guess about the future (money involved) = "gambling"


I'm not reading too much into it. SF Bay Area is still the startup HQ of the world. Gary probably just wanted to hire this guy despite his desire to live in Cambridge. Plus YC is leaning harder into their preference for college-age founders, so having a partner next to Harvard&MIT doesn't hurt.


I don't think that now is the best time to learn software development, but I do think that now is the best time to learn computer science.


Can you elaborate? I might agree, I'm just curious what you mean.


You've built a great product IMO. I'm a happy customer.


Why is this guy so popular of late? Is it because he manages to book interesting podcast guests? He doesn't seem to have any particularly interesting or impressive original thoughts on display...


He's pretty good at curating very smart people and interviewing them. There's no shortage of interviews with double talking politicians and polemicists so podcasts like his are a breath of fresh air. I'm not watching his podcasts to learn about Dwarkesh, but to learn what his guests have to say.


The bar for wide-audience podcasters and interviewers is low. They're expected to be generalists who can ask good questions, not experts driving the conversation.

Now, expertise is valuable for focused Podcasters like Peter Attia for fitness or Razib for population genomics. But, Dwarkesh is trying to cover all tech and wider HN-friendly content. For that purpose, his CS education and knowledge of the tech industry workings are solid.

He does a better job than Lex, Rogan, or other tech-adjacent Podcasters. Nowhere near as personable as some of the more mainstream successes. But, when those podcasters get tech guests, we're stuck with tired questions like:"Will AI kill us all?".


Tend to agree. His interview with Leopold Aschenbrenner and subsequent interview with François Chollet revealed a pretty obvious LLM maximalist position. Kind of off-putting.


The Taiwanese tourists seem to have a significantly more favorable reputation in Japan (in comparison to the Chinese tourists).


He (along with Jack Ma) is certainly among the luckiest people on Earth... I'm not sure if it's just consistently poor translation / English skills, but every time I hear either of those guys speak it's a visceral reminder that you don't need to be super smart to get super rich.


Jack Ma sounds odd at times but if you believe his story, he’s more self made than almost any of the US billionaires.

The title sounds reminiscent of Bill Hwang.


That seems like a very strange opinion... "the professor's time was wasted"?? The pursuit of education (and often degrees) is meaningful on a personal level. A productive research career is simply one of infinitely many paths that a person could choose to take.


Most likely for the same reason that so many people seem to think they need a vector-specific database and a framework like langchain to build any type of GenAI-enabled application... the content marketing is working.


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