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> But again - the hard part is not cloning the product, it's stealing your customers.

Yes. A Red Hat, a Microsoft -- these companies have processes, organizational structure, politics, friction, etc. They might like your products, but replicating them might not be easy for reasons that have nothing to do with how easy it is given the freedom to do it. Small shops with vision might well have a bright future, for a while, maybe.


> Especially for LLMs, they are not (till now) learning on the fly. Claude Opus 4.6 knowledge cut off was August 2025, so every idea you type in after this date is in the training data but not available, so you only have to be fast enough.

First of all: it's not as though no new LLMs are being trained. Of course they are.

Second: learning LLMs are not far off, and since they can typically search the web via agents, they effectively can "learn" now, and they can learn (not so well) by writing stuff into a document hidden from you. Indeed, some LLMs can inspect your other sessions with them and refer to them in future sessions -- I've noticed this with Claude.

Third: already we see some AI companies wanting to train their models on your prompts. It's going to happen.

> The next thing is that we also have open source and open weight models that everyone of use with a decent consumer GPU can fine-tune and adapt, so its not only in the hands of a few companies.

There's a pretty good chance that LLMs buff open source, yes.

> > We will again build and innovate in private, hide, not share knowledge, mistakes, ideas.

> Why should this happen? The moment you make your idea public, anyone can build it. [...]

This was always the case, but now the cycle is faster. Therefore if you must use an LLM you might use an LLM that you run on your own hardware -- now your prompts are truly yours. But as TFA notes the AIs will learn just from your (and your private LLMs') searches, and that will be enough in some cases for them to figure out what you're up to. Oh sure, maybe the Microsofts and Googles of the world will not be able to capitalize on millions of interesting idea floating about, but still! the moment you uncloak the machine will eat your future alive, so you'll try to stay off its radar and build a moat it can't see (good luck!). Well that's what TFA says; it seems very plausible to me.


why would they buff open source? why would Microsoft Copilot, with its insane costs, ever be used for that purpose?

or insane costs for any serious LLM -- how does Anthropic get return on investment by improving FOSS

the end state is a walled garden and technofeudalism


Indeed. So?

Do China's or Russia's leaders not?

Yes they certainly do. Either leadership attracts people with these traits, or the position leads to cultivation of these traits, or both.

"These people will not rest until they are able to see your teen-aged child's surrepticious sexts."

A uniquely... English word, that.


Also used in Italian and presumably in many other languages.

Like with any word, it's use in colloquial form may vary from generation to generation, from subculture to subculture etc


Not at all. It's just the Latin prefix "de" (out of) plus "fenester" meaning window. Not an English word except by borrowing.

The joke was that [to my then knowledge] it's not used in Romance languages, but it is used in English.

Is it? I know of that word in at least 3 languages.

> The Hard Facts: Why Chat Control Has Failed Spectacularly

The ostensible reasons for mass surveillance fail. That's very interesting.


Besides, SpaceX could launch more sats to even lower orbits (where they wouldn't last long just due to atmospheric drag) during a conflict -- enough to win, then we can figure out how to get all that debris cleared out.


> then we can figure out how to get all that debris cleared out.

How hard could it be Michael? $10?


Ok, but what is China's immigration policy like?

They could be importing young people from nearby India, yet they're not. Why?


I mean, theres still a language barrier there no? I dont know much about their immigration policies though.


Some are doing worse than others, and China is doing close to the worst.


China is doing much better than the West. The only thing keeping populations from imploding here is the constant migration from the third world.


I don't understand. You say China is doing better than the West, and then explain why the West is doing so much better than China.


The West isn't doing better.

The West is destroying third world countries to take their human resources. Blowing up the middle east created more uber eats drivers than defunding all the schools in Detroit ever did.


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