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Solve our biggest problems? I'm neutral here, but are you sure that's what is happening in the Bay Area and no where else in the world?


I'd be happy to be proven wrong, but I think natural resource constraints and tribalism / nationalism are the greatest chronic threats we face.

Energy tech and communications tech try to solve these, respectively; most funding, research and commercialization appears to happen here (although most deployment happens globally).

I've been studying where things are happening from my admittedly skewed vantage point for quite a long time. It does still seem that the vast majority (>60%) of activity is happening in the bay area.


Thats a very SV response of course.

I don't think SV is at the forefront of energy tech, don't have any figures to hand, but I would put Germany way ahead of SV.

Communications tech, yeah maybe, but it is very well dispersed now. Social change created by this? Less so, the US is trying to reinforce the existing consumer society through better advertising. Much of the rest of the world is experimenting with using new technology to help change society, from the Arab Spring to M5S and the Pirate Party and so on.


This is one of those occasions where it's worth checking the poster's profile. Danielle Fong is "cofounder, chief scientist, lightsailenergy.com" and probably does know a lot of people in SV working on energy tech.


Silicon Valley certainly outperforms Germany in new energy tech. It's not even comparable. Germany just spends more on deployment.


There is little need for better energy tech at this point, it's all a question of deployment.

Edit: That is to say wind and solar can both be cheaper than coal right now depending on location and how you calculate the cost of money etc. Which means we are over the tipping point and it's just a question of how much and how quickly to invest not the need for some great breakthrough.


It's not possible to economically power the world with non-fossil fuel based sources based on current prices. We are between a factor of 2 off, optimistically, and more likely a factor of 5 off (floored by extraction and processing costs.)

I don't know where you got your data or how you're doing your analysis, but you're incorrect on this one.


If by power you mean electricity then your simply wrong. According to a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) between El Paso Electric Company and First Solar, electricity will be sold from First Solar’s thin-film solar panels to El Paso Electric Company for 5.8 cents per kWh http://cleantechnica.com/2013/02/03/thin-film-solar-power-to... Let's compare that with http://www.heco.com/portal/site/heco/menuitem.508576f78baa14...; and say there is no way to run an economy on renewable energy.

That said, scaling things up quickly is a hard problem but slow things down and many problems go away. Realistically, rather than transporting electricity to industry a lot of industry is going to move to where there is cheap power. Also, transportation is a separate issue boats and airplanes are not going to be 'green' any time soon.


Let me try again. Maybe it will enlighten some other readers.

You're cherry picking some of the outermost outliers of both of their ranges, ignoring the cost of storage and transmission and distribution infrastructure, and ignoring the fact that the price of fossil fuel could just decline to the cost of extraction processing and transport as we produce replacements. The cost of coal + extraction nears 2 cents per kwh.


That's a vary different argument from It's not possible to economically power the world with non-fossil fuel based sources based on current prices. However, my point has little to do with today, where not going to replace most power plants in the next 10 years so you need to consider the longer term.

First off transportation and processing are huge factors in the price of fossil fuels, finding and pumping oil are a small slice of the price of gas. At it's simplest cost of fossil fuels = (natural resource value) + (cost to locate) + (cost to extract) + (cost to refine) + (cost to transport) + (environmental cost). [even this ignores subsides etc]

What's important to consider is a proven reserve may or may not be worth extracting based on the market value when your done due to extraction, transportation, and refining costs. Many coal mines in west Virginia have been closed and reopened based on such factors. Now where do renewable energy come in? Shutting down existing coal power plants is a question of maintenance and fuel costs, but new power plants need to consider construction as well. Add to that all existing power plants have a finite lifetime so long term it's only the replacement costs you need to consider. So while building solar in new England is not worth it now, there are plenty of places where it is worth it and that's not going to change.

We have crossed the Rubicon to the point where economics are pushing adoption. Which means there is going to be a lot of grid connected wind and solar power in the future in places like Arizona which means grid operators have no choice but to adapt. The grid can and will slow adoption, but again existing infrastructure has a lifetime and the replacement is going to be designed around matching production with utilization.

The future of the energy market is a huge multidimensional optimization problem. But, investments follow expected profits and there are hundreds of billions of dollars worth of profitable alternative energy investments to be made over the next 30 years. Governments may help or hinder the process but unlike 10 years ago they don't actually need to be involved and it's still going to happen.


What makes America unique and strong is that few other places attract the amount of international talent that SF, and the US in general have. To my knowledge there is no other city in the world that attracts the amount of international talent that SF or NYC can. That with some of the best universities in the world, with many of them in California, put California, and SF, in a good position for many years to come.

Having said that, the world is changing. And we will see other inovation hotspots emerge, but I truly believe without diversity in people, it is harder to have diversity in thought , which can inspire innovation.


Given the level of attraction of SV, the number of talented people from outside the US would be much greater if it wasn't for the way the US government treats foreigners. If the government doesn't become more receptive to foreigners it is quite clear that SV will never grow to its full potential.


London has been a global city for its entire history, and would be in that group. As would Tel Aviv and Singapore.


Your use of declarative and profound statements, with no evidence, gives me a high degree of distrust towards anything you say.

With that said, I have a few specific points.

> Prison is society's recourse for anti-social behavior

Lets speak objectively. Prison is a punishment that is forced upon some people who are found guilty of breaking some law. Many laws exist without thought for "social" behavior.

> Does it have to be a violent and horrible place? No. The residents tend to make it that.

Some residents make it that. Other residents have little to no "social" means of preventing or defending themselves against it.

> I am against pampering in anyway, with my tax dollars, people whom I've had to remove from proper society...for anti-social behavior.

Its funny that you use the word "pampering" when the alternative we are discussing is torture.

Nonetheless, this is the easiest point at which I can find common ground with you. Would you, rather than pay with your tax dollars for "pampering" prisoners, pay for educating prisoners so that our GDP grows? If there were ways to measure that GDP increased because we educated and enabled certain prisoners, would you gripe less?

> Prison is supposed to be a deterrent.

I've always heard that its supposed to be for rehabilitation. But, again, lets speak to the reality rather than the ideal: Prison is obviously not an effective deterrent.

> These people don't require reform. They are typically leaniently sentenced, pay for their mistake and move on.

What evidence do you have that people who don't need reform are typically leniently sentenced?


Son of a bitch that is a lot of debt. It stresses me out just reading about it. I guess few people do the math correctly when they go get a degree.

Can anyone here who opted to take a student loan for a technical degree speak to whether it is daunting to them or they are comfortable with the trade?


My student loans weren't quite $100k, but I was single-minded about paying them off. I got a (decent, but not spectacular pay) software job right out of school, and managed to get back to zero debt in about five years.

I'd say it worked out well for me, but my situation is very different from that of the woman in the article. First of all, I graduated in 2005. Interest rates were much lower, and dollars worth a little less, than in 1994. I also didn't have children, or any intention of having them in the near future -- children are very expensive. Finally, I did have to live frugally for that period. For example, I carried groceries about 3/4 mile so that I wouldn't need a car. It wasn't poverty by any means, but I skipped many things my peers considered "essential".

For that reason I'd say, while it worked out for me, it is certainly not for everyone.


For realistic people, it's not that big of a deal and speaks more to how people value money and things. However, I'll admit that I wish, as a 22 year-old kid, I was more knowledgeable about all those loan papers I was signing at the time.

I'm a doctor who had about $160,000 in student loan debt by the time I finished residency (during which I paid $1,000/month on a $45,000/year salary and lived like a student). After residency, my wife and I started throwing about $4-5k/month at it. Yes, that means I didn't go out and buy a brand new S55 AMG fresh out of residency, but I didn't care. I know plenty of people who will lose more on mortgages when their house doesn't appreciate like they thought it would. Or when (not if) the market crashes again.

It doesn't bother me one bit that many people on here get to ride the tech money train that I don't have a ticket for. Enjoy it, homies! But never forget (but don't stress about) the fact that the party music can stop at any time.

Everyone should enjoy what they've got and be reasonable about expenses. There's already enough to be worried about.


Out of curiosity, what brought you to HN? While not riding the tech train professionally, have you considered investing in or starting any products?


When I was in medical school, I taught myself some Python and C++ to help automate some of the data collection and analysis for a cancer research project I was doing. That project was attached to a drug that I now have a minority financial interest in. Been interested in technology since I was a kid. This weekend I was toying with the Keccak hash function code just for fun, even though it has absolutely no relationship to anything useful I could do programatically. The simple pleasures...

I have a financial relationship with Epic Systems, but that's more of a nepotistic thing than it is something I earned. As far as investing in new products, I don't really have an interest at this point. Things are stable and I like it that way.


It was the worst thing I ever did. I'm not as bad off as this women but I have around 80-90k in debt for school loans and whats worst is one of them is a private loan so it has some ungodly high interest rate compare to my others.


Pay close attention to politics.

The reason your federal loans don't have an ungodly interest rate right now is that as part of the economic stimulus student loan interest rates were lowered. The temporary extensions have kept it down since then, but they could jump back up at almost any moment.


That jump is for new loans, fortunately. All previous federal loans are locked in at the rate they were originally signed for.


Can you lower your private loan interest rate with something like lendingclub.com ?


My wife and I each came out of our undergrad education with around 50k in college loans. But, we majored in Computer Science and both paid them off within the first two years of working and are now doing quite well <knocking on wood>. So we're quite comfortable with the trade.

That said, you shouldn't need to take those kinds of loans anymore. We went to a top-10 school for CS back when you still had to get loans for them. These days, there are nominal costs, but all of the top-tier schools I know of cover any difference between you/your family's ability to pay and the tuition. I would personally be somewhat skeptical of the lifetime earning potential you are getting from any institution whose alumni have not given so much money that they can easily afford to cover any gap you have in your tuition payments.


cover any difference between you/your family's ability to pay and the tuition

This is good advice, but don't forget that "your ability to pay" is just code for "perfect price discrimination."


Yes, but it's still better than when I went to school. Back then, they took 100% of your parents' savings and all available income, too, but also saddled you with debt while doing it.

I'm firmly of the belief that for the top-tier schools they'd do better just having no tuition and making quarterly reminders of the value of their education, counting on getting it on the flipside from alumni donors down the road.


> I'm firmly of the belief that for the top-tier schools they'd do better just having no tuition and making quarterly reminders of the value of their education, counting on getting it on the flipside from alumni donors down the road.

At least when I went to school 20+ years ago, the very top-tier private schools were very close to that, having large endowments and using them for both merit-based and need-based financial aid in grant form, so that most students paid substantially less than the nominal tuition, and quite a lot of students paid very little to no tuition (and often were subsidized for books and housing, too), such that for most students they were less expensive than nominally cheaper less-elite schools.


I agree, but don't forget that for the top-tier schools, a substantial fraction of their students come from families that are loaded.


I graduated 5 years ago with a BS/CECS and a MS/CS from USC. It was the best decision I've made.

I finished my program with $60,000 in debt. $40k for undegrad, and and another $20k for graduate. As bad as that sounds, I had a pretty good financial aid package; the estimated cost of attendance was $60k per year, and most of it was paid for through a mix of work study, scholarships, and a very generous need-based grant from the university [1].

I've made enough since I've graduated to repay my debts a few times over, have a great job, learned valuable leadership skills, participated in a couple research projects, and learned things I never would have known how to even approach had I not gone.

--

[1]: Good schools will give need-based grants if your financial aid package doesn't cover the estimated cost of attendance (minus your EFC, as calculated by the FAFSA). They'll ask you to take out Stafford loans, but those are capped at about $12k/year for undergraduate study.

That said, my advice is to stay far away from any school that asks you take out private (non-federal) loans. Those are uncapped, and will easily bury you more debt than you can handle.


I took on 6 figure debt to go to school. I'm happily employed and grateful for the life I have.

The way I see it: every option available to me coming out of high school had risk. Taking on debt to go to college is a risk. Not going to college is a risk. For some, these risks are low, due to a fortunate upbringing with financially stable parents. That wasn't the case for me — but I can appreciate having the choice at all, which many people don't.

I achieved the goals that were important to me given the risk I took: to get a job doing something that challenges me, makes me happy, and allows me to live comfortably. The debt is the cost I chose to pay in order to achieve this goal — one of many I could have taken, but there was always going to be a cost.

The article meanders a bit but I think the story is a pretty common one for those of us in a lot of debt: it's a long term partnership. The "amount of debt you're in" is abstract and barely fathomable. It manifests monthly as a force that pushes against you and your bank account, and how you choose to respond to that reflects your priorities at that moment.


I have no idea where my situation falls in the "normal" range but here it is. I graduated from DeVry in early 1995 with a BS-EET. I had been given a 1/2 tuition scholarship from DeVry and took out loans for the remainder. I worked to support myself and used loans only for school. I came out of school owing something like only $18K. I say "only" now because almost 20 years later that doesn't feel like a lot of money. But fresh out of school, it sure felt like a lot... even making more money than I had ever seen in life to that point. But I had roommates. I opted to not buy a new car... driving my beater truck from school. I didn't get married and have kids. I actually made paying off my student loans one of my higher priorities and ended up doing so in less than 5 years [so not my top priority :)] Daunting? not really. It was very manageable. But I think times have changed... so my tale probably isn't as relevant today.


I started at a community college (and wish I had transferred in the full 60 hours). I went to a private university with 1/4th paid tuition. The other half (~12.5k/yr) was in my pockets. I stayed for 2.5 years. I achieved 100 hours of my bioinformatics/data science degree. I dropped out and went full-time at one of my internships with 40k in debt. I can comfortably pay back the $550/mo (over 10 years) to cover the loans. In fact, 80% will be paid off in the first 2 years if I am careful.


To add, a lot of community colleges have agreements with local high schools to waive or reduce tuition for high school students taking classes before they graduate. This is a pretty good route if you are advising any young folks.

I transfered 25 credits in when I went to college, so it was an easy way to get rid of classes that would lecture bowl type stuff in a much smaller / interactive setting.


I was a high school dropout with no job, car or money. I decided to go to college. I qualified for need-based grants, but I did have to take out some loans to bridge the gap. It's less than 20k. I went to a cheap state school, nowhere in the top 100 list for CS.

All things considered, I am happy with my decisions. My loan payments aren't that bad. Rent and car-related expenses are worse. I do live check-to-check, but I could probably get a much higher paying job if I looked.


I did... less than half the amount described in this story though. The bulk of it when towards one of those MS degrees another front page article talks about.

I have to say I have no regrets. The job opportunities that were available to me with my BS were depressing and (relatively) low paying. Even with my aggressive loan payments I'm still taking home more than I would have without the investment and the lower salary.


Daunting. I made a mistake, and am literally paying for it. It's not that I feel the degree itself was not worth it, but I chose my path poorly. I could have just as well gone to a public school and received an equal or better education than a private one. That rude awakening did set a more intense course of determination for the rest of my life however.


> the idea of “online shopping” has only been around for the last 15 years

Along with so, so many ideas that are prolific in web people's every day lives. Its pretty wild if you think about it: industry standards haven't even been set for many of the technologies we use daily.


"Most Enabled Entrepreneurs Ever?"

Most definitely. At the same time I wonder if alpha personalities were more enabled before regulation and competition were everywhere.

Anyway, I'd like to hear the talk on this portion. The slides are okay but its an interesting discussion and nothing was really said about the implications (except for some examples of people who, because of passion + being enabled, were extremely successful).


> driving requires alpha decision-commitment and trust that the gigantic killing machines around you will make room for your bold, assertive self

In the city this is true. I learned to drive on highways and suburban streets, and it was much less stressful. Transitioning to city driving took practice and, most of all, objective-based transport methodology ("I have to be at a client's office in 10 minutes...I'm turning!!").


Agreed. City driving has more stimuli (more turns, more pedestrians, narrower roads) and less ability to correct for mistakes (more one-way streets, more traffic - you can't just pull over in a parking lot, check directions, and turn around).


I live in a city, and I hate driving in the suburbs. No one pays attention, uses blinkers, or is careful to not cut people off.


If i drive like i do in the city in a suburb, everyone thinks i'm cutting them off.


I live in Atlanta, while I've driven in Manhattan before and had to get in some tense situations, I understand the type of city you can be referring to there. They're atypical for city driving here.


In your script, you have:

> You: This is a really great offer because [a sentence or two about why you want to work for them.]. But I was really looking for a little higher compensation.

> Then, this is the most important part: they need to speak next. You have to be silent until they respond. They will give you one of three responses:

At which point you list the three responses. But the most common (in my experience) response is missing: "Okay, what were you thinking for salary?".


I'd say name a number or range 15-25% above the offer. Or even just "I was hoping for 15-20% more." Thanks, I'll add this.

The point is just to ask for what you want. Often people will give it to you just for asking. It took me a long time to figure this out!


Never name a range. Ask for 15, 20 or 25% more, based on what you want.

If someone comes to me asking for 15-20% more, I'm going to offer them something below the low end of the range. You're essentially giving away 5% for free.


Always name a range. Bound it on the low end by your minimum. Otherwise you're essentially removing their ability to give you n% for free.

In a few cases, I've seen offers come back right in the middle of the range, when I was expecting the bottom. Free money!

Ideally, have 2 offers that are aware of each other and name the range. They won't both come back with the bottom number. At least, not in this market. They've wasted a ton of time and need to hire someone, so they're going to make their offer count. Internal recruiters have performance-based metrics too, and while I'm sure getting a better deal on a hire looks good, failing to fill positions is not good.


Good addition to a great writeup, but you might want to revise the surrounding text. A lot of it still refers to there being just 3 options.


Everything said in the post is easy to conclude if you learn a little bit about negotiation and understand some more niche things like how to valuate shares of a company.


"Deligne’s most spectacular results are on the interface of two areas of mathematics: number theory and geometry"

This is very compelling. Can anyone suggest topics or materials of study to explore this interface?


Study complex analysis. It is a very pretty field which certainly has connections both to algebra (in fact, complex analysis grew out of the study of roots of polynomials) and to geometry - there are a lot of fascinating geometrical results in it, such as the famous Euler's formula for angles, e^i Theta=cos Theta + i sin Theta as one of the simplest examples. There is also the theory of conformal mappings and all sorts of beautiful results for analytic functions, e.g. the fact that a complex function which is smooth (i.e. differentiable) and non-constant must take every possible complex value (except possibly one point) - certainly not true for the real numbers! Once you have a good understanding of complex analysis, you can continue to study Riemann surfaces and topology. A lot of modern geometry and number theory grows out of these studies, e.g. the Riemann hypothesis which is very important in number theory, and Riemann surfaces which are strongly connected to models of spacetime, both started as part of complex analysis. Also the field has a huge number of applied results, e.g. in the area of differential equations and Fourier analysis. Once you have a good grounding in complex analysis, you can decide if you want to move into the later results (such as Weil's), which tend to be very sophisticated.


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