and how you define technology. Look outside, look in the store, stuff is static or getting worse and prices are rising. I can see no evidence of accelerating technological progress outside. when will "AI" do anything that makes life better for a normal person?
* AI improved stroke treatment: NHS hospitals using AI-assisted brain scans doubled clot-removal treatment rates from 2.3% to 4.6%. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41339157/
* AI restored communication for a paralysed patient: A man with ALS used an AI brain-computer interface to communicate over 183,000 sentences and maintain full-time employment. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-026-04414-6
These have happened in the very short space of time that AI has become really competent. The stuff in the pipeline is mind boggling, and includes curing most cancers, curing ageing, unlimited energy, etc.
But to reply to the headline, becuase it's impossible to predict reliability of something new, and it's not possible to evaluate reliability based on a single example, you need lots of data collected over long periods of time.
The only thing most reviewers can do is speculate based on the reputation of the designer/manufacturer, and an educated guess based on the object's architecture and materials.
maybe, or maybe some problems turn out to be reasonably defeatable by educated guess brute forcing with lots of compute and big models pointing the search in reasonable directions.
Yes, maybe what is hard for LLMs and what is hard for humans have a very small overlap. But calling it brute force or low-hanging fruits is still a bit absurd.
You can safely argue that it's statistics, because by construction it is. But then, maybe nothing is anything more than statistics.
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