The blog post makes no mention. If the rate isn't 0% it should be mentioned for a field like this.

Agreed. Hallucinations and reliability are the main hurdles to anything being 'agi' in my book

The definition of AGI is whatever a frontier lab wrote a blog about doing in the last week.

Humans can be sanctioned and fined, and eventually disbarred if they continue to lie in court filings.

presumably that will remain true for the lawyers using the product

So those lawyers will likely want to know about the likeliness of it, strategies to work around it, and overall mitigations.

It might be helpful if the company launching this product included such information in their blog post instead of ignoring it in a field with such a high cost of getting it wrong.

agreed, but i dont think there are many (any?) product launch blogs that cover all the fine details and legal minutia of the product.

that all typically comes in pages of terms of service, purchase contracts, SLAs, conversations with your rep, knowledge base articles, and that sort of thing. not in the initial marketing post.

probably available by the "contact legal sales" link at the top of the post https://openai.com/business/contact-sales-legal/

Much advice is meaningless, baseless post-mortem correlations from people trying to justify their own success.

"Buy more lottery tickets!"

no, it's "buy lottery tickets to exclusive lotteries".

the ability to enter such lotteries is where success lies. either through connections or ability.

If you need connections and ability then you are back to luck.

those can be cultivated.

To a degree maybe but the degree differs dramatically for different people. To give an extreme, someone with a significant disability growing up in an impoverished family in the middle of nowhere is generally going to have very little opportunity to cultivate connections and ability.

In my metaphor, "lottery winners" is already representing exclusivity.

Nah, they're fine making that small leap. RSI is the new marketing term for the sci fi singularity.

>> because the rate of improvement is fairly stalled?

> Do you have anything that proves this one way or another that isn't based on vibes or shoddy benchmarks?

They clearly aren’t talking about RSI here, but that model development has stalled in general.

This introduces other incentives to cut corners and over-quantize.

They're saying it as if it were contrary to what's being claimed. The tagline says "for architecture and product design." The supported file formats are not video game formats.

What is "the new one"? The old one used AI, and this one seems to as well.

Author here: It doesn't, well at least not art-wise. All sources are attributed in https://github.com/arnegiacomo/fugleramme/blob/main/assets/a... and https://github.com/arnegiacomo/fugleramme/blob/main/assets/a...

This is much appreciated! Thanks for making this decision

From the link: "Half the point of this project is showing off some amazing public-domain natural-history illustrations. Over 800 cut-outs covering more than 400 species, every one taken from a real plate and hand-curated for this project (no art is AI-generated, though some has been retouched with AI)."

Idk what "retouched with AI" means. Does it mean they used a segmentation model to cut out the shapes, or were they shoved through an imagegen and completely recreated?

It matters to me because it claims to be "real, hand-cut 1800s bird illustrations" which is the whole appeal of this to me

You can convict a human. What do you do when your LLM blows all your money on paperclips?

Marshall Brain really nailed it back in 2003 with Manna. https://marshallbrain.com/manna1

AI leaves humans as the limbs of the machine, with less and less thinking or comprehension required on their part.

And the less people are required to think, the less they think, the less they are able to think.

A reverse-centaur

Yeah, it will be assembly line working all over again.

This has already been the case with classical software. AI only stretches it further.

URL not responding here.

Hm, also not responding here. I don't think this thread is well-trafficked enough to have hugged it to death, but here's a PDF alternative link: https://milweesci.weebly.com/uploads/1/3/2/4/13247648/mannap...

Thanks!

He died in 2024. The domain is paid for 10 years, but the hosting probably got shut off.

"meat proxy"

Not really. One entity embedding the software into another will only account for at most a handful of downloads.

Unless Codex is vibe coded and it downloads it directly on every installation…

Didn't people find it bundled with a bunch of other things in a single runtime? Downloaded as part of a whole runtime would suggest it wasn't downloaded directly from the source.

Break expectations. Bootstrap it through an esoteric-enough system. Write an Uxn emulator in assembly targeting the cushy environment that UEFI has and you've got a system with graphics, a text editor, a spreadsheet editor, an assembler, games, and maybe even more. I have a Z80-powered email appliance that can be loaded with programs from a connected device. Whoever is breaking my trust in trust surely won't have planned for that.

but now they will via delegation to an automated analyst/systems programmer.

get ready.

the effort required for a complete infiltration has been lowered a great deal.

This automated analyst isn't going to be able to run usefully on hardware that is still otherwise useful, giving you a clear path to choke it out or identify its presence when your hello world is taking 3 months to finish compiling.

insertions can be much smaller than full blown LLMs.

simple single bit changes are enough to blast your private keys out to the ether of the public facing internet.

that big fat LLM does know how to make tentacles and eyes.

Absolutely true, but even tentacles and eyes will struggle to fit in a system compact enough. Even on larger systems, there is an upper limit on how many tentacles you can cram in something before you can't continue the facade that there are none. And an upper limit on how esoteric the tentacle is before it stops being worth it.