Did anyone really think that? The corruption is inherently far, far easier than accurate predictions.

Yeah, trying to beat the market on actually predicting will get you pretty lame returns. Probably do better in non zero sum games like the stock market. At least there you get the benefit of the market always going up eventually.

No, the best way to win on Polymarket is purely by insider trading. Which is why it's a useful thing to watch. Insider news..

That said, the definition of 'insider trading' is always tricky. At what point does it become insider? Some things people call insider others just call clever detective work.

> Yeah, trying to beat the market on actually predicting will get you pretty lame returns

That maybe true in a normal world, but we left normalcy in this world a couple of administrations ago. I absolutely would not put it past a member of this admin to be keeping an eye on things like this to suggest it would be better to start the attack on specific day just to pad the coffers. Any other admin, and I'd say that would be an insane line of thought, but it is this admin.

It's not useful to watch, almost by definition. If you're an insider obviously you want to sit on the information as long as possible and make a big bet just before it will be revealed. For example: the account in TFA whose bet was 71 minutes before the first news article about the attacks.

So how useful is it really to see a big bet and know that probably the thing in question will happen in the next hour?

The only kind of use case I can see for these markets is what another commenter mentioned, as a kind of strange insurance by betting against what you hope will happen. But even then, the finicky rules and untrustworthiness of the Polymarket admins make them much less reliable than a traditional insurance policy...

We need to get the Iranians working on nuclear fusion instead.

It successfully didn’t backfire on the US.

It’s good for them. That’s the point they’re making. All this shows that for many countries nuclear proliferation is the way to guarantee their safety.

Who is "them"? Definitely not the people.

"safety" for whom? Definitely not the people. They starve.

The people arent being pppressed by the bomb, but by their leaders. The odea that the US would liberate all peoples from tyranical rulers is naive. The US routinely installs and supports tyrants who allign with their geopolitical goals. Pol pot, pahlavi, pinochet, marcos, suharto, seko, the banana republics. Nukes didnt enable those guys, the US did

> "safety" for whom? Definitely not the people. They starve.

Better to have privation than to get bombed and massacred in large numbers.

My bad - I didn't know Iran was starving Jews to death in concentration camps. Can you point me to a source ?

They love to project the past crimes of the West onto the East as a justification for their current crimes.

If bombing Germany was a crime, then call me the world's greatest war crime supporter.

This is a comment sub-thread about DPRK

Safety for whomever controls the nukes, whether autocratic (Iran) or democratic (Ukraine).

Russia would not have attacked Ukraine if they still had their nuclear weapons and Iran wouldn’t be under attack now if they had them too.

I’m not saying whether it’s goods or bad that any or specific countries have nuclear weapons, that’s beside the point. The point is that this attack sends the signal that the only way to guarantee your safety is to have them.

If raw materials isn’t the bottle neck for life every where, then what might it further down the line between oceans full of nucleotides and life? The oceans themselves?

Temperature range and magnetic field are my first thoughts.

I think it’s less about tools and more about the spaces that humans operate in.

You don’t need a human-like hand to hold a tool made for humans. As an extreme example, you can make a robot operate a power drill with strap to hold it and a servo with a small bit of wood to operate the trigger mechanism.

But for a robot operating in a space made for humans there certainly are some physical requirements which are based on the human form: maximum volume and clearances, stairs, fragile fixtures that can’t be operated with too much force, etc.

Ever walk through some over-crowded antique shop where you need to twist and lean your body to avoid knocking into thing?

Ah, so this is why many companies end up full of sociopaths who contribute nothing to the actual revenue of the company: they all managed to weasel themselves into the “profit centers” while the chumps doing actual work that keeps the lights on remain in the “cost centers”.

It only looks bright if the laser is aimed directly at you. But I suppose even that depends on the wavelength used.

Its only bright for a couple of nano seconds, then it gets really dark ... for ever

If you’ve had soups and broth made with lots of bones, and you want to recreate that same mouth feel and experience without using loads of bones, then you can achieve that by using gelatin, because gelatin is exactly what the first dish had that yours is missing. It’s literally the missing ingredient if you’re not cooking with the bones.

Also, they simply aren’t perfect replacements for each other. Agar and gelatin are certainly similar in many ways, but the are not the same.

He says that he encourages the pieces to only transported by re-shipping them through FedEx, so as they change owners and travel the world they will become progressively more damaged.