Yeah it already helps me too with finetuning small models for image stuff.
Im not telling it what to do, i ask it for ar eport/analysis and research and read its article and tell it what to implement based on 'feelings' and it works.
Limit is hardware and tokens and an AI Researcher not having hardware or tokens is probably not what they refer to.
Alone normal researchers were quite handicaped: converting data from tool a to python library x, understanding how tools work, doing basic google research etc.
I find this as well for models that make it to production.
On a more fun note, I also find just trying some hair brained idea is now extremely cheap - so why not? I used to have to weigh up spending a week of effort on something likely not to work and now I can now get spit out test in 20 minutes.
The incredible thing to me is I can say "I have a theory that X is a problem."
The agent then works for 20 minutes and comes back with, "Yes this is a problem. Here is the evidence. Here is a golden data set. Finally I built a new evaluation metric and benchmark where we can back test or use for new model experiments to see if we are closing the gap."
My point is that Anthropic is not special. Neither is OpenAI. They are just really good at marketing.
Job displacement is real, but based on real world usage it would owe just as much to Grok, Gemini, DeepSeek, Kimi, and whatever else that is close to frontier, but cheaper.
If in a couple years they're losing their jobs because of Anthropic/OpenAI/10+ other enterprise token resellers using open models then their value proposition is much weaker even if people are still losing jobs.
Yes could be but we don't know yet how big the overall market will be.
If you have in every single industry AI tokens, it will replace wages. In USA alone thats 15 Trillion. If its just 10% the USA market alone are 1.5T without the value added.
That is the only future where the valuation makes sense. But I'm afraid to think about how a society where that[1] happens will behave. My guess is that it would become _highly_ unstable.
[1] Say >10% of people of employable age suddenly becomes superfluous with not much prospect of finding new jobs (since AI eats those too).
If you give me ANY idea of why you think my argument is stupid, we could actually discuss it?
My company is building an agentic layer in its product, google and the other hyperscalers do that too.
I already want to get rid of one person in my team because he was slow before but was able to contribute something, now I want to have his position as AI tokens.
you think 10% of the entire usa market is gonna go to anthropic and I'm supposed to somehow find a way with words for you to understand how stupid that sounds?
The OP is snarky but he makes a valid point: if Claude is so intelligent, why can't it just "do something" to get whatever valuation its owners want? Because that's what we've been told, this is AGI, no it's ASI, it will kill us all.
Currently the progress is real and there is no ceiling in sight. If you just follow the line, there will be / should be your scenario coming up sooner than later.
But no one knows if there is a ceiling or progress might slow down massivly.
Is warning people so wrong if you interpolate the current progress and just look ahead a few years? Might just be as stupid as some North Korean/Russian hacker throwing some abliberated model against some computer system and having some cascading effect on water or energy grid.
For plenty of people AI already took their jobs, jobs they liked and enjoyed doing.
Space payload before Space-X and Starlink was 1000t and increased to 3000t because of starlink.
To get enough payload into space that the evaoluation is worth while, he really need to do this datacenter in space thing and sending enough hardware up there to match just one GPU based datacenter would take one Starship launch every single day.
Lets ignore that building Datacenter on earth is stll A LOT easier and cheaper to do and that we shouldn't vaporize non sustainable metals into our atmosphere alone for health reasons.
We have robots, AI (which is so bad that he prevers to rent out his AI hardware instea d of making more money with it directly), 3 Car models and something else combined in two companies with an overall value over 3T.
This setup is still higher valuated as plenty of big car manufacturers, robotics companies and a lot more other companies thrown into the mix together.
I talked clear numbers, you don't even try to argue.
I actually calculated and researched these numbers and while it seems that you are dismissive because of your ideological position? i saw and read Elon Musks claim about AI Datacenters in Space and him writing about a dyson sphere and calling it bullshit.
You are not evaluated as the 7/8th most valuable companie on the planet just because you build rockets and send up a little bit of payload. Thats why their P/E is 3 digits.
You can be as dismissive as you want but this doesn't reflect the reality.
I can easily spend a LOT less time on describing the same amount to claude than i would in a JIRA ticket and doing code review on the PR of Claude than talking to a person about it. Instead of 1-4 weeks Claude is done in an hour.
Its also already A LOT faster and better of analysing infrastructure issues.
Conservatives' undermining public education makes it inevitable that slop engines will surpass the intelligence of the average human, then double and treble it as the average human's intelligence continues to decline.
Probably also a huge problem but at least in the last 15 years of working, there was always at least 1 if not 2 people were i question how they were even in the industry to begin with and getting jobs.
When you mention Tesla, don't forget Space-X. The value proposition of Teslafanboys was always that Tesla is not a car company and now Musk splits it up between Tesla and Space-X
Are you know running debian with testing or unstable?
reply