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Aidr

I have a server living in my home office, always on. I have a tmux session on it with vanilla Codex and Claude Code CLI, I can via my Ubiquiti network stack wiregaurd in to this box anywhere on the globe with just my laptop. Works super well for me. I also have some cheap shelley power plugs that I can use to cycle my PC’s power state if needed.

This is basically my setup but I'm using tailscale and zellij. I don't have any contingency plan in place for my power or home internet going down though..

I used to do the same but being unable to copy/paste easily, follow links, upload files, etc led me to write a small bridge so I can turn Github issues into my harness frontend:

https://github.com/skorokithakis/symphony

Now I chat with OpenCode/Pi over Github issues, which is a miles better experience.


Time is money. Parallelism is very helpful optimising one to get the other.

Money is money too. Increasing contexts costs non zero money, even with cache hits. Also context rot is a problem that subagents help with

> Time is money. Parallelism is very helpful optimising one to get the other.

Parallelism is fantastic when it actually speeds up the entire pipeline, but in my experience most people's jobs (at least the ones for which AI is currently relevant) involve a lot of overlapping "hurry up and wait" branches that drastically blunt the real benefits of that sort of parallelism.

There may be specific situations where it makes sense to do it, but just immediately going full gastown on anything AI related seems like such a giant waste to me, of both money and finite world resources.


This truism is intuitive to everyone but always funny to me how everyone never has any time, needs to save time, needs to hire staff workers for every mundane job and robots can't come soon enough… all so we can binge watch Game of Thrones and 90 day Fiancé.

And watch 10 hours of football on Sunday for our DraftKings bets.


Money is also money, which anyone who makes heavy use of parallel subagents will quickly learn.

I prefer the simpler “aidr”

Anyone have any steps on how I can enable this in the UK? I guess I need to update my billing details to a non UK address and hop on a VPN or something?

You can change billing details to US and then activate US gift card that you can buy of Amazon.com.

But keep in mind you have to disable all subscriptions first and also your family group if you have one must also switch their accounts to US.

So yeah pretending you're US customer is no brainer with Apple and unlike Google they dont have automatic detection that will move your account to other region.

Beware you can only change account region once a year or something.


Create a new account and reset. If you aren't willing due to the friction involved then it's time to decentralize anyway. If it's due to previous payments or licenses/subscriptions tied to the account then work with the vendor to transfer or pay the small cost to reset.

After spending 8-12 years in a single gmail account I learned my lesson. Don't get entrenched or you can't be flexible.


> they dont have automatic detection

I thought they at least used something complex to attempt to prevent non-EU users using third-party app stores. I also recall a legitimate EU user is not allowed to travel abroad too long before losing access to those stores.


Might be in case of moving region to EU there are something like this, but to move it to US all you need is US gift card.

What Google does is completely different - they enforce local regulations on your accounts just if you keep using them within specific region for too long. Though Google dont actually change billing region or Google Play region.


I moved my Apple account region to Spain and used a Banco Santander bank account to fund it. Banco Santander allows UK citizens to open a bank account.

This is literally just open source “Alpha Capture”, Marshall Wace run their TOPs strategy in a similar but much more sophisticated manner (private data), this would just be a very low dimensional data source against many. Do some googling as do many other hedge funds for their relative interest in the space. I doubt if there is much edge to be had here now based on just price targets. Also OP most Sell-side equity research is garbarge and merely serves as marketing for the analysts institution.

Have fun and all but I doubt this is going to give you a durable strategy or market edge.


Thanks for your perspective and insight. Yes, most sell side research is marketing or relationship management, so the quality of the calls is low.


I think the idea is perhaps best abstractly expressed here https://superdark.ai/ (scroll)


Damn, that site is very hard (and painful) to follow.


They did, but they also were a large existing manufacturer.


I don't know what they had before but their identity seemed to be IBM's overnight (thinkpads and all).


They used the Think(Pad|Centre) brand and expanded it to other things (like IdeaPad).

They basically bought IBM's good reputation name and style and used it for both IBM-alikes and budget machines.

Some of it was good machines, some of it was crap.


They actually bought entire ThinkPad R&D as well, and have been subcontracted manufacturer for some time before that.

So Thinkpads are still designed in ex-IBM Lenovo Japan


The caveats to your comment are in my opinion as follows: Bundibugyo the current strain has not previously been responsible for material outbreaks, as such it has therefore received significantly less scientific attention.

Additionally Ebola (Zaire) has previously been shown to be potentially spread via aerosols. https://www.nature.com/articles/srep00811, the CDC and associated institutions resolutely claim this is not possible, yet also insist on full respirator PPE. For any institution to claim we know much about this strain isnt true. An alarming fact to update ones prior is the current size of the outbreak and its rapid development compared to ALL previous outbreaks (yes conditions on the ground maybe confounding this), but the scientific approach would be to say, we simply do not have enough evidence to make any claims of significance.

I am quite worried about the potential for this situation in the DRC (a country of ~116m people, ~55% rural) to 1) not burn itself out, 2) act as a smouldering viral reservoir where occasional spillovers occur to the western hemisphere.

2) Is interesting politically for Western countries, because even if a mass pandemic DOES NOT occur (this is my base case), the pressure of containing a handful of regularly appearing and likely high profile Ebola cases by public health authorities will be acutely felt politically and socially. It is very possible some sorts of lockdowns are implemented. Yes vaccines are in development, yes rapid antigen testing is possible. But this is no Covid, 50%+ CFR is a totally different beast! I think this is potentially close to some sort of worst case scenario from a social and political perspective even if the public health impact IS limited.


> Additionally Ebola (Zaire) has previously been shown to be potentially spread via aerosols. https://www.nature.com/articles/srep00811

Ah, I was not aware of this, so thanks for pointing that out. That does indeed look quite concerning, so let's hope that that won't apply to humans (although I'm struggling to think of a plausible biological reason for why it wouldn't).

> I am quite worried about the potential for this situation in the DRC (a country of ~116m people, ~55% rural) to 1) not burn itself out, 2) act as a smouldering viral reservoir where occasional spillovers occur to the western hemisphere.

I agree that this is bad in the sense that something absolutely horrific is happening to a lot of people; I was just trying to refute the point that we could also somehow wake up with Ebola a month from now.


Doesn't Ebola kill faster than transmission can be maximized? I believe Nipah in Asia also faces the same "issue".


In general the more severe a virus the less likely it is to spread into a pandemic. This is for a couple reasons: 1) really sick people are less likely to go spread it, 2) really sick people are easier to identify and isolate and 3) the time between virus shedding and death is very small.

There are, of course, some exceptions (long incubation periods where you can shed virus but are totally asymptomatic) but those are rare and usually self limiting in some other factor. Smallpox was really the worst possible case and we have thankfully eliminated it.

Big deadly pandemics (black plague level) are usually bacteria.


>Big deadly pandemics (black plague level) are usually bacteria.

that's not really true, is it? I'm thinking small pox and influenza are big ones with well-studied pandemics that had fairly high mortality rates


> Additionally Ebola (Zaire) has previously been shown to be potentially spread via aerosols.

…between inoculated pigs and monkeys, in a lab. Pigs infected with this strain, quite notably, do not become hemorrhagic, and as the article notes, manifest as a respiratory illness. So it isn’t fair to point at it and draw conclusions about humans.

Moreover, from the article:

”We have also never observed transmission of EBOV from infected to naive macaques, including in an experiment employing the same cage setting as in the current study, where three NHPs intramuscularly inoculated with EBOV did not transmit the virus to one naive NHP for 28 days, the duration of the protocol.”

They’re literally telling you that the thing you’re fear-mongering about was tested for, and not found to exist.

> the CDC and associated institutions resolutely claim this is not possible, yet also insist on full respirator PPE.

…for people working with late stage infections, in close quarters. Usually with many such cases. This is a case where “better safe than sorry” applies.


> It is very possible some sorts of lockdowns are implemented.

What drives me nuts, and the same thing happened with Covid, is all the things you mentioned are true and yet western countries don't even entertain the possibility of preemptively denying travel from these countries until things get under control. I think the US, Europe, etc. will manage to survive without travel from the DRC et al for an extended period of time. But will governments actually do it? Nah...


The US has travel restrictions, therefore you are incorrect that "western countries don't even entertain the possibility of preemptively denying travel from these countries until things get under control"

https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/returning-travel...


OK, guess I missed that one. Score a point for mean ol' Trump I guess.

But, you're ignoring that it's also not exactly a blanket ban on travel from the DRC, just "within the last 21 days", which... does that make a meaningful difference? And, where are the other western countries doing the same? Kinda my point. If it's done at all, it's a day late and a dollar short.


I believe that Ebola will kill you a lot faster than 21 days. It's not going to be latent in you for that long.

[Edit: Arodex notes that it can remain dormant for years (at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49418182). So, yes, someone could bring it back. It probably wouldn't be an active infection, though. But what is the alternative? Nobody who ever visits the DRC can enter the US ever again? That seems like overkill.]


> But, you're ignoring that it's also not exactly a blanket ban on travel from the DRC, just "within the last 21 days", which... does that make a meaningful difference?

What's the alternative here though? It's not really okay to lock your own citizens out of the country indefinitely, so there has to be some way for people to be able to come back home eventually. Requiring an Ebola test on entry would be one option, but those Ebola tests would probably be better used on patients in Africa, so it would be hard to defend such a policy from an allocation of resources perspective.


Auckland was locked down for months


Initially it was locked down the same as the rest of NZ. And then it got locked down again a few months after the initial lockdowns, due to a Delta outbreak, the most lethal variant of Covid.

It wasn't locked down for months on end while the rest of NZ was having fun in the sun, it was locked down the same as the rest of us initially, then it wasn't, then it was locked down again because a strain with a high lethality was present in the city. That strain was first detected in a rest home where it killed multiple elderly people.

The second lockdown wasn't for shits and giggles.

I really struggle to understand why Aucklanders don't understand this, and fixate on "We were locked down for months, unlike the rest of New Zealand, and it was really bad for our local economy" when the second lockdown was to save lives in Auckland and the lives of other Kiwis, because if it had spread from Auckland, there would have been plenty more dead Grandmas around the motu.


I don't understand this "we were locked down for months but being locked down for months doesn't count if there's a good reason." Were they locked down or weren't they?


Yes it was months, 107 days in total for Auckland, and the borders were effectively shut across the entire country from March 2020 through to March 2022. It was a huge and significant distruption for many people.


You don't understand "we were locked down, and therefore, we avoided a bunch of peopled dying"?

Sorry, did I type too fast or something?


it was locked down harder than the rest of the country, yes it’s a fact. he wasn’t looking for sympathy idk why you needed to overreact over and invalidate his personal experience


Because it was another month, when Delta turned up and killed a bunch of old people. But oh no, it was bad for cafés!


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