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Give it two years more then it changes again.


It won't. That's the point many people don't seem to get: The people who wanted everything that is happening now don't just go away. There is no guarantee they won't vote for a narcissistic grifter again, and thus any long-term decisions building on mutual trust and stability can't be made. How could you justify investing into a factory that relies on a 20 year ROI window when tariffs could be changing every day? Why would you want to use an AI model that could be restricted to US citizens or taken away entirely without notice?

Big, slow wheels have turned everywhere around the world. They won't turn back so easily.


Meh. No matter which side gets in power it’s almost certainly a narcissistic grifter. Who wasn’t over the last twenty years? The current one is a bit of a long term aberration, that doesn’t have to be the norm going forward.

In fact you could argue he was a response to some of the more extreme positions on the Democrat side.

I’m hoping things move more towards the center. But that may be only a fools hope.


Agreed, that’s a silly argument.

You should worry more about your daily commute than a little ring.

It’s plastic straws all over again.


It works on planes, ships, and in remote areas with no coverage. I live in Canada where the whole of Europe would fit many times over, nothing else would work in the remote areas at that scale. My parents live in Panama and use starlink to get reliable high speed internet at the beach. Even when the power goes out, their solar panels keep the internet online.


What is Microsoft rust? I’ve never heard of such a thing. Or did I miss the joke?


I don't think there's a joke, this commenter seems to believe Rust is controlled by Microsoft


Don't think I am alone to know that...


Waste heat into the atmosphere is hardly pollution. I think you don’t understand the scales involved


Pure silicon melts at 1400 C

You must be thinking of something else


Nope, thermodynamics is weird at small scales. Hot spots can absolutely reach 1400C if not designed not to. Sophie Wilson (initial architect of the ARM processor) has talked about how poorly designed silicon can reach point temperatures hotter than a nuclear reactor steady state.


That’s crazy. I thought maybe some of the other elements used in modern semiconductors might melt first. The wiring seems like a potential problem. But before that even the elements they use in the transistors themselves could be an issue.


The wiring has lower resistance for a bunch of different reasons, so the heat has a tendency to be concentrated on the transistors themselves (which are mostly silicon, just doped).


Like I have already said in another comment, semiconductors and metals behave differently when temperature increases.

For metals the electrical resistance increases with temperature, causing a negative feedback that limits the increase of the temperature, while for semiconductors the electrical resistance decreases with temperature above a certain threshold, so once that threshold is reached positive feedback increases the temperature very quickly until the semiconductor is melted, unless there is some protection system that limits the power dissipation through the semiconductor.

That is why it is very easy to melt silicon in an integrated circuit or in a discrete device, despite its high melting point.


Very surprising! Thanks for sharing


The melting of silicon was a common phenomenon already during the second breakdown of power transistors, e.g. in audio amplifiers or in TV sets, more than a half of century ago.

In semiconductors there is a positive feedback between temperature and the current that passes through them, so once a certain threshold is passed, the current and the temperature grow very quickly until the semiconductor is melted. This is opposite to the behavior of metals, where resistance grows with temperature, tending to limit the current that passes through the metal, when it overheats.

The currents through the transistors of SOTA logic gates are very small, but their volumes are also very small, so the power density is similar to that in high power transistors.

Thus thermal breakdown that leads to silicon melting is easily achievable. This is why any modern CPU has on-die temperature sensors, so that temperature is monitored and power dissipation is limited, to ensure that the threshold that triggers positive thermal feedback is never reached.


wow, i had heard of transistor thermal runaway, but i didn't know you could reach silicon melting point temperatures. though i guess in hindsight it makes sense that, considering that during the manufacturing process semiconductors are already exposed to very high temperatures, if you are instantly permanently altering a device with heat (as you do when you destroy it through thermal runaway), you must be reaching comparably high temperatures.

what type of people look at heat transfer at the device level in an IC (and at such short time scales)? where can i learn more about that? this looks like it could have an impact in analog power circuits, because even if you don't destroy the transistor you could alter its characteristics, but i haven't seen a lot of attention being paid to that. personally i guess i figured individual transistors never went significantly beyond the temperature ranges we already consider for the circuit as a whole.

thank you for sharing


In NAND, data loss is proportional to temperature. I don’t recall how logic circuit errors behave.


I take your point, but an IC is not pure silicon


Indeed. For instance, dopants can diffuse and metals can intermix with silicon (silicide formation), both degrade device performance. Solder and packages melt before any of this happens.


It is easy to melt the semiconductor in a semiconductor device long before the solder or package materials are melted.

Above a certain temperature threshold, the electrical resistance of semiconductors drops exponentially with temperature, which is why NTC (negative thermal coefficient) thermistors are made of semiconductor materials.

This causes a positive feedback loop that increases the current very quickly and concentrates it through a narrow channel through the semiconductor (so the current density can be extremely high even when the total current is still low), which can easily reach 1500 Celsius degrees, melting the silicon, while the temperature of the package and of the solder remains very low (because the time is too short for the temperature to propagate outwards from the melted silicon channel).


They can use it at home.

Using it school is likely undermining their learning.


> Pretty humble/modest for a guy like that.

Modest was qualified. The statement is accurate. Your objection doesn’t make sense.


He is not being modest. Sorry.

> Modest describes someone who is unassuming about their abilities, or something that is limited in size, amount, or reach

Buying a 6 million dollar house is not unassuming.


It is when you have a billion dollars.

It’s all relative.


If that were to become reality, and I won’t guess at the odds of that, is because it grew the world economic pie. Thinking about it in terms of the size of the pie today is treating it like a zero sum game. It’s a different game.


Over what period of time?

By 2030? No way

By 2050? Maybe?

Obviously during an IPO you’re trying to make the bull case (unhinged or not). What does it look like in the best case scenario.


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