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Did the model write the headlines?

    June 16, 2015: Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
    July 16, 2015: Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
    July 20, 2015: Donald Trump Is The World’s Greatest Troll
    Aug. 6, 2015: Donald Trump’s Six Stages of Doom
    Aug. 11, 2015: Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls, And Losing The Nomination
    Nov. 23, 2015: Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
    Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan


No, but you're cherry picking very old articles, so I'm not terribly convinced. Commentary and articles as the election versus Clinton proceeded took him quite seriously.


To wit:

  8 Nov: There's A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most of Them Come Up Clinton
  6 Nov: How Much Did Comey Hurt Clinton's Chances?
  6 Nov: Don't Ignore the Polls – Clinton Leads, But It's A Close Race
  5 Nov: Why We Don't Know How Much Sexism Is Hurting Clinton's Campaign
  4 Nov: National Polls Show Clinton's Lead Stabilizing – State Polls, Not So Much
  4 Nov: Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton
  3 Nov: Why Clinton's Position Is Worse Than Obama's
  2 Nov: The How-Full-Is-This-Glass Edition
  2 Nov: Trump's Chance Of Victory Has Doubled In The Past Two Weeks
  1 Nov: Yes, Donald Trump Has A Path To Victory
  1 Nov: On A Scale From 1 To 10, How Much Should Democrats Panic?
  31 Oct: The Odds Of A Popular Vote-Electoral College Split Are Increasing
  31 Oct: Comey Or Not, Trump Continues To Narrow Gap With Clinton
  27 Oct: Don't Read Too Much Into Early Voting
  26 Oct: Is The Presidential Race Tightening?
  24 Oct: Why Our Models Are Much More Bullish Than Others On Trump
You get the idea.


There was the now infamous

Trump has as much chance of winning as Cubs

sli.mg is being attacked so I can only post a link you can't see !!

https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg

He was described as an "insider pundit" by the Clinton team

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/28878

From:[email protected] : ... I see Dan, Nate Silver and various other insider pundits saying what they are saying, I have been to enough rodeos to know that thoughts are being planted from the Obama-Clinton consultant class (not you, and you know who I mean). This is not helpful to Hillary, quite the contrary, ...

So I don't consider him objective.


> There was the now infamous

> Trump has as much chance of winning as Cubs

Are you referring to this “The Cubs Have A Smaller Chance Of Winning Than Trump Does”[0]? If so, I don’t understand why you would consider such a headline to be inaccurate or not objective.

[0] https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-cubs-have-a-smaller...


Interestingly, you missed this FiveThirtyEight article:

September 15, 2016: How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote

link: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-trump-could-win-the-...




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