Bayesian reasoning. Most positive tests for unlikely events are false positives. | Hacker News

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		harryh on Jan 14, 2018 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: What It Felt Like in Hawaii When Warning of an In-... Bayesian reasoning. Most positive tests for unlikely events are false positives.

nothrabannosir on Jan 14, 2018 [–]

(Assuming plausible alternatives, being those false positives. Which is true in this case, of course.)

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