You have to judge the idea, not appeal to authority. Investors make mistakes most of the time!
> But what you probably have to consider is the size of the handmade craft market in the US. Then consider the entire world-wide market. It's probably very large.
That's every business plan ever. "Look how huge this market is! If we could just get one percent, why..."
It's like Ali G's pitch. "Zen" (Venn) diagram of "People who like ice cream" intersected with "People who has hands". Voila, the Ice Cream Glove.
—Buy $5 million worth of hardware and hosting over the next two years.
—Support more currencies and languages other than the U.S. Dollar and English.
—Fix the checkout system (there is none now, every buyer has to pay every seller on an individual basis. There is no Etsy payment system that works across all sellers).
—Fix search.
—Provide a cushion in case of a recession.
—Offer customer service
—Provide competitive wages and take care of his employees.
Quite a lot of big ticket items in that list. Add to that any significant amount of consumer marketing and the number doesn't seem that bad.
I'm not sure of the checkout system, but I assume right now that the payments are left for the sellers and buyers to deal with and Etsy would instead like to establish their own system that makes it dead easy to buy and sell with Etsy as the middle man in the transaction.
Search is hard. They have search already, but they want it make it better and more relevant to the user's taste and buying history I imagine.
Customer Service => manpower => salaries => money => funding.
Competitive wages: I'm sure Etsy pays it's employees well, but I doubt it's at market value (although it's probably damn close). But they want to take care of their existing employees and hire new ones and pay them all well, which I think is admirable.
The funding isn't absurd. Etsy can and probably will be huge. I've seen nothing from their execution and growth so far that indicates that they're a mirage or about to tank.
For a company with a revenue model, growth, and a large market to raise a 30 million series B isn't exactly earth shattering.
> But what you probably have to consider is the size of the handmade craft market in the US. Then consider the entire world-wide market. It's probably very large.
That's every business plan ever. "Look how huge this market is! If we could just get one percent, why..."
It's like Ali G's pitch. "Zen" (Venn) diagram of "People who like ice cream" intersected with "People who has hands". Voila, the Ice Cream Glove.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48TR0vUPQCs