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So one thing to note is that the “population” referred in the doc you linked is talking about people that are infected, not the general population. Of course, that doesn’t make the outlook that much better: if history is any guidance, H1N1 likely infected 15% of the world’s population[0], and interpolating that makes the required number of beds ~3 million. That’s still a lot of beds, but a lot more manageable. With techniques to delay the arrival as much as possible (e.g. at least wait out the flu season), and to avoid spikes, we’ll make it through this.

It’s still undoubtedly a monumental event in history, but we will make it through.

[0]: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic



Well, some of us will. Assuming I survive, I'll be spending some time keeping track of the people I know of who didn't.




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