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I agree... it doesn't make sense to just throw a blanket lock down over the whole county indiscriminately. Same goes for state governors to throw these blanket shutdowns of bars a restaurants over the whole state at once.

I don't understand why we can't take a more localize approach to this. Maybe only implement the lock downs in the worst areas, or areas entering acceleration phase. Can't we be smarter about this?

We don't even know if it will snuff the infection out. It might just be kicking the can down the road. In my area, it is still very low risk. Meanwhile, businesses are already beginning to shut down, and people's are loosing their livelihoods.



Without out adequate testing, we can't know where to localize the lockdowns to.


This is true, but you don't need blanket testing to have adequate testing for estimation of community spread. There is a fantastic video here[1] that covers the specifics, but basically we know enough about how the virus spreads that if we just track who is in the hospital or dead from the virus, we can estimate its state of community spread, and thus know when to lock down.

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCa0JXEwDEk


Agreed, I don't understand why there isn't a concerted effort to ramp up testing. NYC is doing this now, part of the reason their total cases are going so high so quickly. Lockdown makes sense for them right now. The medical facilities are starting to feel the pressure.




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