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You choosing a door in the first place gave you 1-in-3 chance. But your 1-in-3 choice is deducted from the 3-of-3 choices that Monty could have had, so Monty only had a 2-in-3 choice: there's a 2/3 chance that the car is in the pool of doors from which Monty could select. Monty has a 100% chance of choosing a door without a car. Therefore, you inherit the 2-in-3 chances if you change your selection.

The first door will have the car 1/3 of the time. The second door's chances had been expanded to the remaining 2/3 percent thanks to Monty always choosing the last 1/3 door which is guaranteed to not have a car.



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