Most revolutions involve some violence, yes. Would you prefer that people permanently submit to tyranny? In the American Revolution our founding fathers were certainly glad to receive arms from their foreign allies in order to fight the British.
Haven't they very blatantly been making that decision in Belarus, in favor of changing the status quo? What were the protests about, why did so many put their necks on the line? The question is whether the West should help them or not, how and to what degree. The decision to go against the regime has clearly already been made by large numbers of people in Belarus.
How do you know how deep the support for regime change is in Minsk? I mean, using primary sources.
It's easy to fill a plaza with people. And Minsk's regime is terrible. But I was duped into supporting the Iraq war in '03. with the promise that we'd be greeted as liberators. I remember the young men shaving their beards in Kandahar. Look how those turned out.
In Belarus, it wouldn't be a revolution - it would be civil war. Lukashenko is certainly a dictator, but he still commands support of a significant part of the population. And Russia would be all too happy to assist them. Think the Donbass conflict in Ukraine, but larger scale.
> And Russia would be all too happy to assist them. Think the Donbass conflict in Ukraine, but larger scale.
Don't you think this way it's an even bigger reason for an rapid, overwhelming action to stem any chance of it.
Russia will not be happy at all to start losing more than disposable mercenaries for the first time.
It's by far the surest way to regime change Russia, without an open, direct conflict — to make Putin commit to a big war which he can't win, nor retreat from.
It's very important to make him to activate Russian standing military, so the people can't be made to "unsee" the fact of Russian state involvement.
The easier the victory will look for them, the more they will commit, the harder it will be for them to pull out.
> It's by far the surest way to regime change Russia
Ah, Ok. Another country to bring democracy and freedom to. I really thought that by this time we have learned our lesson - but I guess not - God help us.
I'd rather you not give westerners any ideas. It already seems like the united states is ever increasingly on the brink with the rhetoric of 'tyranny' we hear from both sides of the spectrum.
i would prefer you start a revolution in the US and the UK. the world will be infinitely grateful to all of you when endless wars, aggressions, support for dictatorships and colour revolutions come to an end.