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It’s the other way around: LPs are telling VCs not to expect the allocations they might have expected. I hear 66% reduction from institutions, anecdotally. For several years going forward.

If an institution had 1:1 allocation public:private and public drops 80% then rebalancing will take a while.

If every startup and fund simultaneously took a 80% haircut, things would be smoother, quicker.

Unicorns don’t want to be marked at $200m and $10m preseed don’t want to be the $2m that is far more accurate value.

This dynamic will take a few years… private slowly coming to realize the new reality, public stopping the bleed, and allocations moving more public for several years.



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