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Except we have no idea if the graph is going to turn out this way, AI tech may be like almost every tech and be facing diminishing returns in the near term (or even, if you plotted the advances against the number of people actively working in the field and the amount of money sent at hardware, we may have been facing diminishing returns for a while without realizing it because we investing a lot of effort in it).

Maybe AI will unlock a cascade of things that will make it a self reinforcing trend as we've seen with the industrial revolution, leading to an exponential boom, but maybe it will not. And the fact that the GPT-N is doing an incredible job at simulating intelligence doesn't really give a hint about the answer.



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