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From the data we see that violent crime has dropped across the board but property crime is up 3% between Q4 2022 and Q4 2023 for cities with a population of a million or more. The article asks “Why does the public think it’s going up?” Well, because it is in major cities.

I won’t even mention the additional factors of the 24 hour news cycle, social media, and people losing faith in officials prosecuting crimes like shoplifting or car jacking leading to less reporting. The raw data says property crime is up in major cities, and property crime is the crime that makes people feel unsafe or that there is disorder (as the “expert” in the article refers to).



Yet, a pretty consistent majority of people, regardless of where they live, say they think crime is increasing locally.

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/NOZAB/3/#



> property crime is up 3% between Q4 2022 and Q4 2023

I doubt people would notice 3%, though arguably it could have been 'too high' to begin with.




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