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Those returns depend on when you invest. The inflation adjusted annualized return of the S&P 500 was negative from January 2000 to January 2013 at -0.25%. The inflation adjusted total annual return from January 2000 to January 2024 was 4.5%.

https://ofdollarsanddata.com/sp500-calculator/



Sure, you can get lower returns as well by cherry-picking the start and stop dates, especially for shorter intervals.

When economists say things like, "the market returns X on average," they always mean over much longer periods of time than your example.


The figure till 2013 was just food for thought. Inflation adjusted returns for the S&P 500 for the last 50 years are around 7-8%. I'm certainly not suggesting anyone stay out of a S&P 500 index fund, as I wouldn't take that advice myself. However, the return from 2000 to 2024 is not a cherry pick for anyone old enough to have had their money invested back in 2000, as it shows that there has only been a 4.5% real return on the money then invested since the 2000 peak.




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