1) Are some intelligent people with the power over hundreds of millions, billions even, that sure that AI will pay off?
2) Is it all a gamble by not-that-intelligent people that have power over those billions?
3) Is it intelligent people knowing this will never work, just pretending for the grift, ripping off 2)?
It's fascinating and I can't wait to see how it's ending, despite knowing there is no happy end possible anymore. Either most people are replaced by AI and society as we know it ends or there is a gigantic crash waiting.
It's 3, surely; Even if the companies crash, the people leading them won't - they will have extracted an absurd amount of cash, and when the crash comes they're like "oh we paid ourselves millions for our good work, we couldn't possibly see the crash coming. It's nobodies fault! Anyway let's get our bankruptcy proceedings over already, the company doesn't have remotely as much worth left anyway"
I believe there is lot of making money now or in next 3 to 12 months. Whatever it takes. Unless you go to really egregious level of fraud, you likely won't be punished. So optimal game is to skim your bonuses from the game. Same goes for fund management. Keep numbers looking good and stay on mostly legal side and you get to skim from top.
I wonder if the way we have to look at the A.I. race is as a form of cold war. During the cold war, military expenses made no economic sense but we had to do it anyway to come on top. At this point, it's "who can borrow the most without bankrupting itself or can survive until a government bailout".
2) Is it all a gamble by not-that-intelligent people that have power over those billions?
3) Is it intelligent people knowing this will never work, just pretending for the grift, ripping off 2)?
It's fascinating and I can't wait to see how it's ending, despite knowing there is no happy end possible anymore. Either most people are replaced by AI and society as we know it ends or there is a gigantic crash waiting.