In terms of ability to ship? Easily tenfold. We literally ship 10 times more than before AI. This does not, however, translate into a tenfold increase in actual business success, of course :)
oh for sure! I think in some ways LLMs have raised the bar in terms of what you an expect from software (once we get past the hurdle of increased bugs, but that seems to be getting better)
I think at some point, AI development becomes a competition for who has the best taste [1], because with seemingly unlimited/cheap tokens, AI ends up being more about throwing shit at a wall and hoping something sticks.
Curious: what multiplier do you think your productivity has increased by, from before AI?