I don't think there's any chance people will be employed to sell the output of their brains in 20 years, outside of "athletes", or whatever we end up calling people who think for sport. We mostly succeeded at doing this with muscles, and today there's no market for hauling rocks out of quarries manually. We're in the process of doing that for brains too.
AI will outdo people in all practical uses. We're already there for debugging and getting very close for coding, and we're in the middle of the largest investment in human history to expand that to everything else.
If we do a good job of alignment, AI will treat people like those cats "in charge" of train stations in Japan: our every need will be accommodated, but we won't be controlling things we don't understand.
If that's how you feel, you'd better get started -- we've already got AI writing most of the posts on this site, handling frontier maths, writing most of the commercial code at most startups, and its capabilities are growing real fast.
Of course. But they're going to be machines. I don't think there's magic that makes the human brain impossible to automate. And engineering is going to lead to faster improvements than evolution could.
People will say that until it doesn't. We're currently in the largest research investment in history for this, and have made a crazy amount of progress since even five years ago.
I'm not cocky enough to bet against it. Especially since now AI is solving frontier math problems, debugging better than humans, and writing most of the content posted to Hacker News.
AI will outdo people in all practical uses. We're already there for debugging and getting very close for coding, and we're in the middle of the largest investment in human history to expand that to everything else.
If we do a good job of alignment, AI will treat people like those cats "in charge" of train stations in Japan: our every need will be accommodated, but we won't be controlling things we don't understand.