"This shit doesn't get a proof of concept built up in a dorm room over the weekend, and it's user base isn't going viral to signal interest in the product if there is no product to use until you're already $4,000,000,000 in the hole...."
Exactly. And on top of that, there is no making serious pivots. If you're an Instagram and you realize that people don't just want to share photos, they want filters, you can make that change in minimal time. In a Hyperloop situation, you're designing something that you're hoping to convince people that they want, and if you build it and no one comes, you're massively screwed.
Not to mention that Hyperloop would have a massive cost over-run--I don't care what his estimates are. The cost of land-use alone is going to be just outright insane. If you run a pilot in CA, you're going to blow through several billion just securing basic land rights, running years-long ecological and wildlife surveys, determining impacts to groundwater/rivers, etc.
Then the real work begins. This would make the Big Dig look well planned & executed.
Exactly. And on top of that, there is no making serious pivots. If you're an Instagram and you realize that people don't just want to share photos, they want filters, you can make that change in minimal time. In a Hyperloop situation, you're designing something that you're hoping to convince people that they want, and if you build it and no one comes, you're massively screwed.
Not to mention that Hyperloop would have a massive cost over-run--I don't care what his estimates are. The cost of land-use alone is going to be just outright insane. If you run a pilot in CA, you're going to blow through several billion just securing basic land rights, running years-long ecological and wildlife surveys, determining impacts to groundwater/rivers, etc.
Then the real work begins. This would make the Big Dig look well planned & executed.