My point was that in a (nonadversarial) context where you have known triggers for false alarms, P(problem|alarm) falls dramatically once you have identified the presence of such a trigger, and it's entirely reasonable for our actions to reflect this.
My point was that in a (nonadversarial) context where you have known triggers for false alarms, P(problem|alarm) falls dramatically once you have identified the presence of such a trigger, and it's entirely reasonable for our actions to reflect this.